As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 93.5% in Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings? — $2.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 93.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.6 pts; past week: +7.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 75.0% and 95.0%. It opened at 75.0% and last traded at 93.5%.
Yes is favored at 93.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94¢ | 93.5% | -0.6 pts | $2.5K | 100.0% |
| No | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.6 pts | $2.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 90¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.5K has been traded on this event in total, $913 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, Etsy is estimated to release earnings on October 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Etsy's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.81 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Etsy reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.81 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Etsy releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ETSY/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,655 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drab-Bustle | Yes | 1,655 | $1.5K |
| All-Peasant-Drug | No | 654 | $43 |
| Giving-Criteria | No | 588 | $38 |
| Proud-Orientation | Yes | 289 | $270 |
| 0x150d5043… | No | 207 | $13 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 102 | $7 |
| Absolute-Cockpit-Dungarees | No | 100 | $6 |
| Babyish-Starboard | No | 100 | $6 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 50 | $3 |
| Prudent-Wheel | No | 50 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.9% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 08:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 5.3% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 08:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 3.2% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 08:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.9% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 08:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.9% | $99 |
| Oct 23, 08:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.2% | $143 |
| Oct 21, 06:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $20 |
| Oct 19, 07:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $42 |
| Oct 19, 06:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $10 |
| Oct 19, 03:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 93.5%. Next is No at 6.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/etsy-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-28-2026-0pt81?via=bro
$2.5K in total volume, with $913 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ETSY/earnings.
Yes, priced at 93.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.