As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 4.4% in EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...? — $462.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 4.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.9 pts; past month: +0.4 pts.
Since January 06, 2026, December 31 has traded between 3.4% and 54.0%. It opened at 54.0% and last traded at 4.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 3.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 3.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 3.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 3.6% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 4.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4.3% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 4.4% |
December 31 is favored at 4.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 4¢ | 4.4% | +0.1 pts | $65.5K | 14.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$462.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 586 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flimsy-Barium | Yes | 586 | $26 |
| Proper-Tectonics | No | 500 | $478 |
| Watery-Fitness | No | 436 | $417 |
| Bitter-Cartoon | No | 429 | $410 |
| Tough-Mimosa | Yes | 400 | $18 |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 321 | $14 |
| Medium-Session | No | 282 | $269 |
| Pointed-Microlending | No | 277 | $265 |
| Tricky-Tea | Yes | 264 | $12 |
| Melodic-Cria | Yes | 187 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.9% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 11:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 01:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 01:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 01:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 01:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 01:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 01:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 01:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 01:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 4.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/eunato-country-announces-peacekeeping-force-in-ukraine-before-2027?via=bro
$462.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 4.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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