As of October 24, 2026, 06:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Canada at 97.2% in Eurovision 2027 Participants — $46.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Canada, is priced at 97.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.1 pts; past month: +0.5 pts.
Since May 26, 2026, Canada has traded between 20.5% and 98.1%. It opened at 23.0% and last traded at 97.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.2% |
Canada is favored at 97.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 97¢ | 97.2% | — | $3.0K | 6.4% |
| Italy | 97¢ | 96.8% | — | $736 | 1.6% |
| Germany | 97¢ | 96.8% | — | $414 | 0.9% |
| Austria | 97¢ | 96.8% | -0.2 pts | $278 | 0.6% |
| Netherlands | 96¢ | 96.2% | +0.4 pts | $9.9K | 21.4% |
| Moldova | 96¢ | 95.9% | -0.4 pts | $108 | 0.2% |
| Israel | 85¢ | 85.1% | -0.4 pts | $3.4K | 7.2% |
| Belgium | 84¢ | 84.5% | -4.5 pts | $9.2K | 19.9% |
| North Macedonia | 54¢ | 54.3% | -38.5 pts | $1.6K | 3.4% |
| Slovenia | 29¢ | 29.0% | -3.5 pts | $4.0K | 8.7% |
| Iceland | 12¢ | 12.0% | +1.0 pts | $896 | 1.9% |
| Kazakhstan | 8¢ | 8.4% | +0.2 pts | $1.9K | 4.1% |
| Spain | 7¢ | 7.4% | -8.8 pts | $9.2K | 20.0% |
| Ireland | 5¢ | 4.9% | +0.1 pts | $1.7K | 3.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$46.2K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The final list of participating countries for Eurovision 2027 is expected to be officially published by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) at the end of 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country is included in the earliest official list of participants for the Eurovision Song Contest 2027, as announced by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or Eurovision by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will solely resolve based on the countries mentioned in the first official announcement; subsequent withdrawals or adjustments will not affect the resolution of this market. If no qualifying list is published by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision (e.g., https://eurovision.tv); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://eurovision.tv
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 871 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Accurate-Decoder | Yes | 871 | $847 |
| Fixed-Dredger | Yes | 367 | $357 |
| Essential-Diarist | No | 250 | $7 |
| Measly-Gelatin | No | 247 | $7 |
| Daring-Pirate | No | 221 | $6 |
| Evil-Row | No | 189 | $5 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 95 | $3 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 74 | $2 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 39 | $1 |
| Intent-Property | No | 34 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:29 PM ET | No | SELL | 11.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 05:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 87.1% | $134 |
| Oct 24, 01:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.8% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.8% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 09:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 09:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.3% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.3% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.5% | $68 |
| Oct 24, 09:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $21 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Canada at 97.2%. Next is Italy at 96.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/eurovision-2027-participants?via=bro
$46.2K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://eurovision.tv.
Canada, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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