As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $150M at 72.5% in Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $4.02M traded so far.
The leading outcome, $150M, is priced at 72.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +7.5 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.
Since February 16, 2026, $150M has traded between 45.0% and 84.5%. It opened at 78.5% and last traded at 72.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 62.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 72.5% |
$150M is favored at 72.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $150M | 72¢ | 72.5% | +0.5 pts | $670.4K | 16.7% |
| $300M | 38¢ | 37.5% | -1.5 pts | $1.55M | 38.5% |
| $500M | 17¢ | 17.0% | -4.0 pts | $1.20M | 29.9% |
| $800M | 8¢ | 8.0% | — | $262.1K | 6.5% |
| $1B | 5¢ | 4.6% | +0.1 pts | $123.6K | 3.1% |
| $3B | 2¢ | 1.8% | -0.1 pts | $96.8K | 2.4% |
| $2B | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.1 pts | $117.0K | 2.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 71¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.02M has been traded on this event in total, $16.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/extendedapp
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 18,844 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novel-Licorice | No | 18,844 | $5.2K |
| Envious-Nail | No | 15,103 | $4.2K |
| 0xdea29616… | Yes | 11,201 | $8.1K |
| Evergreen-Strait | Yes | 9,984 | $7.2K |
| Messy-Molar | Yes | 7,311 | $5.3K |
| Sore-Pun | No | 7,201 | $2.0K |
| Defenseless-Cohesion | No | 5,955 | $1.6K |
| Silky-Geometry | No | 5,704 | $1.6K |
| Detailed-Nail | Yes | 5,500 | $4.0K |
| Black-Actor | Yes | 5,000 | $3.6K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 06:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 06:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 72.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 04:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.7% | $94 |
| Oct 24, 04:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 27.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 10:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 23.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 10:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 24.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 10:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 72.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is $150M at 72.5%. Next is $300M at 37.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$4.02M in total volume, with $16.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/extendedapp.
$150M, priced at 72.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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