As of October 24, 2026, 06:34 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Kraken at 53.5% in Extended listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE? — $31.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Kraken, is priced at 53.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +11.0 pts; past month: -12.0 pts.
Since August 20, 2026, Kraken has traded between 30.5% and 72.0%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 53.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 53.5% |
Kraken is favored at 53.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken | 54¢ | 53.5% | -0.5 pts | $806 | 2.6% |
| Bybit | 46¢ | 46.5% | -3.0 pts | $2.1K | 6.8% |
| OKX | 44¢ | 44.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.5K | 7.9% |
| Upbit | 38¢ | 37.5% | -2.5 pts | $4.7K | 15.0% |
| Coinbase | 36¢ | 36.0% | +2.5 pts | $7.1K | 22.7% |
| Revolut | 24¢ | 23.5% | +5.0 pts | $7.8K | 24.8% |
| Binance | 18¢ | 18.5% | +2.0 pts | $6.3K | 20.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 39¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 73¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$31.3K has been traded on this event in total, $578 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Extended's token is listed for spot trading on the exchange named in the title within 30 days after the token's launch (TGE). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Extended after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. A qualifying listing means the token is available for spot trading on the exchange's primary global platform at any point from the token's launch through 11:59 PM ET on the 30th calendar day following the calendar day of launch (measured in ET). Perpetual futures, other derivatives, and pre-launch markets do not qualify. Roadmap additions, listing announcements, and deposit-only support do not qualify unless spot trading is live by the deadline. Listings available only on regional or affiliate platforms (e.g. Binance.US, Binance TR, Binance Alpha, Coinbase International Exchange, Upbit Singapore) do not qualify. A listing qualifies regardless of jurisdictional availability. Spot trading does not need to be accessible in any specific country or region, provided it is live on the exchange's primary global platform. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 30 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frail-Prayer | Yes | 30 | $16 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 24 | $13 |
| Cool-Pattypan | No | 21 | $10 |
| Jam-Packed-Dividend | No | 20 | $9 |
| Known-Use | No | 13 | $6 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 11 | $6 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 10 | $5 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 1 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 32.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:08 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $42 |
| Oct 24, 07:08 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.4% | $76 |
| Oct 24, 07:08 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 12:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 08:05 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 08:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 64.5% | $39 |
| Oct 22, 02:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 02:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $172 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Kraken at 53.5%. Next is Bybit at 46.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/extended-listed-on-within-30-days-of-tge?via=bro
$31.3K in total volume, with $578 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Kraken, priced at 53.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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