As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 57.5% in Will Ford (F) beat quarterly earnings? — $857 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 57.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.5 pts; past week: +5.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 47.0% and 68.5%. It opened at 68.5% and last traded at 52.0%.
Yes is favored at 57.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57¢ | 57.5% | +5.5 pts | $857 | 100.0% |
| No | 42¢ | 42.5% | -5.5 pts | $857 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 56¢ / ask 59¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$857 has been traded on this event in total, $333 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
As of market creation, Ford is estimated to release earnings on October 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Ford’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.42 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ford reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.42 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Ford releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/F/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 231 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frosty-Funding | Yes | 231 | $133 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 211 | $90 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 100 | $42 |
| Careful-Toughguy | Yes | 66 | $38 |
| Any-Backup-Blowhole | Yes | 54 | $31 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 52 | $22 |
| Impassioned-Chastity | No | 49 | $21 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 32 | $18 |
| Insidious-Meteor | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Weary-Account | Yes | 20 | $11 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 45.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 03:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.0% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 03:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $122 |
| Oct 22, 07:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 05:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 05:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $9 |
| Oct 18, 08:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $6 |
| Oct 18, 07:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 57.5%. Next is No at 42.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-28-2026-0pt42?via=bro
$857 in total volume, with $333 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/F/earnings.
Yes, priced at 57.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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