As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Max Verstappen at 54.1% in F1: Action of the Year — $190.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Max Verstappen, is priced at 54.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +1.4 pts; past month: +27.4 pts.
Since March 10, 2026, Max Verstappen has traded between 2.1% and 54.7%. It opened at 48.0% and last traded at 53.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 42.4% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 41.4% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 51.1% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 54.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 53.5% |
Max Verstappen is favored at 54.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 54¢ | 54.1% | +1.5 pts | $3.1K | 1.6% |
| Kimi Antonelli | 26¢ | 25.5% | -1.5 pts | $18.5K | 9.7% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 8¢ | 7.7% | -0.5 pts | $1.8K | 0.9% |
| Franco Colapinto | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $1.2K | 0.6% |
| George Russell | 3¢ | 2.9% | +0.2 pts | $800 | 0.4% |
| Oscar Piastri | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $891 | 0.5% |
| Alexander Albon | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $3.4K | 1.8% |
| Isack Hadjar | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.5 pts | $796 | 0.4% |
| Liam Lawson | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $578 | 0.3% |
| Valtteri Bottas | 2¢ | 1.9% | +0.1 pts | $43.5K | 22.8% |
| Charles Leclerc | 2¢ | 1.9% | -0.4 pts | $754 | 0.4% |
| Lando Norris | 2¢ | 1.8% | -0.1 pts | $707 | 0.4% |
| Oliver Bearman | 2¢ | 1.8% | +0.2 pts | $29.7K | 15.6% |
| Pierre Gasly | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $26.6K | 14.0% |
| Fernando Alonso | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.1 pts | $23.5K | 12.3% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $606 | 0.3% |
| Arvid Lindblad | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $520 | 0.3% |
| Esteban Ocon | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $614 | 0.3% |
| Sergio Perez | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $27.3K | 14.3% |
| Carlos Sainz | 1¢ | 0.8% | -1.8 pts | $4.4K | 2.3% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0¢ | 0.5% | -1.1 pts | $685 | 0.4% |
| Lance Stroll | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $716 | 0.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 51¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$190.7K has been traded on this event in total, $60 of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 792 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 792 | $364 |
| Sardonic-Mimosa | Yes | 579 | $313 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 339 | $156 |
| Our-Dough | Yes | 196 | $106 |
| Gifted-Rancher | No | 189 | $87 |
| Rich-Racing | Yes | 68 | $37 |
| Short-Cloves | Yes | 67 | $36 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 66 | $35 |
| Sympathetic-Canoe | No | 64 | $29 |
| Trained-Villa | Yes | 50 | $27 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 05:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 05:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 05:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $5 |
| Oct 11, 10:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 10:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $20 |
| Oct 11, 10:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $20 |
| Oct 11, 10:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.4% | $20 |
| Oct 11, 10:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.3% | $20 |
| Oct 11, 10:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $20 |
| Oct 11, 10:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Max Verstappen at 54.1%. Next is Kimi Antonelli at 25.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-action-of-the-year?via=bro
$190.7K in total volume, with $60 traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Max Verstappen, priced at 54.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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