As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate A at 50.0% in Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate — $290.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Candidate A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Candidate A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AA | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AB | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AC | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems | 43¢ | 43.0% | +3.0 pts | $220.3K | 75.7% |
| Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems | 13¢ | 13.0% | — | $13.9K | 4.8% |
| Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps | 12¢ | 12.5% | +4.5 pts | $9.8K | 3.4% |
| Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps | 11¢ | 11.0% | +0.5 pts | $17.0K | 5.8% |
| Lula, Eizenkot, Dems | 7¢ | 7.0% | -1.1 pts | $18.2K | 6.2% |
| Lula, Netanyahu, Reps | 4¢ | 3.7% | +1.0 pts | $1.6K | 0.6% |
| Lula, Netanyahu, Dems | 4¢ | 3.7% | -6.1 pts | $2.9K | 1.0% |
| Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems | 3¢ | 2.9% | -2.5 pts | $3.4K | 1.2% |
| Lula, Eizenkot, Reps | 2¢ | 2.4% | -0.3 pts | $1.3K | 0.5% |
| Lula, Bennett, Reps | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $574 | 0.2% |
| Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps | 0¢ | 0.3% | -0.1 pts | $722 | 0.2% |
| Lula, Bennett, Dems | 0¢ | 0.1% | -1.5 pts | $1.1K | 0.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$290.7K has been traded on this event in total, $17.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 42 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,102 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 10,102 | $5.1K |
| Fearful-Congress | Yes | 8,944 | $4.5K |
| Broken-Idea | Yes | 350 | $175 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 301 | $150 |
| Necessary-Pentagon | Yes | 125 | $62 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 89 | $44 |
| Hasty-Worker | Yes | 75 | $38 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 75 | $37 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 31 | $15 |
| Mortified-Roast | Yes | 30 | $15 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 58.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 58.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 56.0% | $504 |
| Oct 24, 06:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 58.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $55 |
| Oct 24, 05:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 42.0% | $293 |
| Oct 24, 05:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 03:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.7% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 03:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate A at 50.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/fall-elections-three-way-brazil-israel-us-senate-combo?via=bro
$290.7K in total volume, with $17.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 42 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Candidate A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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