Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.4% in FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? — $58.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
97%
A 97.4% price implies roughly a 97-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −0.5 pts30D −5.9 pts
No97.4%
Yes2.6%
Bid
2¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
0¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 18, 2026: 83.5% – 97.4% · Opened at 85.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?
Category
FCC, NBC, abc, Trump, press, License, Politics
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$58.1K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$18.0K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 97.4%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.4%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -5.9 pts.

Since July 18, 2026, No has traded between 83.5% and 97.4%. It opened at 85.5% and last traded at 97.4%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202696.7%
Oct 15, 202696.7%
Oct 16, 202696.6%
Oct 18, 202696.9%
Oct 19, 202697.0%
Oct 20, 202697.0%
Oct 24, 202697.4%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 97.4%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No97¢97.4%—$58.1K100.0%
Yes3¢2.6%—$58.1K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$58.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), or an authorized representative of the FCC, publicly and officially announces the revocation, cancellation, denial of renewal, or non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying station is any full-power television broadcast station in the United States that is, at the time of the announcement, an owned-and-operated station or affiliate of the ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox broadcast networks. Actions against low-power stations, translator stations, Class A stations, radio stations, or stations not affiliated with one of the four listed networks do not qualify. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the FCC is revoking, cancelling, denying renewal of, or otherwise terminating a qualifying station's broadcast license, including an order that the license will not be renewed upon expiration. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the FCC's present revocation, cancellation, or denial of the license, a previously-unannounced prior revocation, cancellation, or denial, or a definitive decision to revoke, cancel, or deny the license. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,670 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Wan-GymnasticsNo10,670$10.4K
Known-UseYes6,035$157
Breakable-StepsisterYes1,211$31
Belated-GlueYes688$18
Essential-DiaristYes477$12
Plaintive-ShadowboxYes462$12
Natural-VacationNo400$390
Flamboyant-WarmingYes337$9
Feline-ResemblanceYes300$8
Straight-HuntingYes250$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $283 at 96.1%BUY No — $135 at 98.0%SELL No — $109 at 97.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 12:11 PM ETNoSELL97.4%$21
Oct 23, 12:11 PM ETNoSELL97.4%$41
Oct 22, 09:01 AM ETYesSELL2.5%$0
Oct 21, 04:39 PM ETNoSELL96.9%$0
Oct 21, 04:39 PM ETNoSELL96.9%$0
Oct 21, 04:39 PM ETNoSELL96.9%$7
Oct 21, 04:39 PM ETNoSELL96.9%$6
Oct 21, 04:39 PM ETNoSELL96.9%$5
Oct 21, 04:39 PM ETYesSELL2.5%$2
Oct 17, 06:11 PM ETYesSELL2.5%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.4%. Next is Yes at 2.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/fcc-revokes-a-major-network-broadcast-license-by-december-31-2026-20260717235625543?via=bro

How much money has been traded on FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026??

$58.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 97.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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