As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.4% in FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? — $58.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -5.9 pts.
Since July 18, 2026, No has traded between 83.5% and 97.4%. It opened at 85.5% and last traded at 97.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.4% |
No is favored at 97.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.4% | — | $58.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $58.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$58.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), or an authorized representative of the FCC, publicly and officially announces the revocation, cancellation, denial of renewal, or non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying station is any full-power television broadcast station in the United States that is, at the time of the announcement, an owned-and-operated station or affiliate of the ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox broadcast networks. Actions against low-power stations, translator stations, Class A stations, radio stations, or stations not affiliated with one of the four listed networks do not qualify. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the FCC is revoking, cancelling, denying renewal of, or otherwise terminating a qualifying station's broadcast license, including an order that the license will not be renewed upon expiration. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the FCC's present revocation, cancellation, or denial of the license, a previously-unannounced prior revocation, cancellation, or denial, or a definitive decision to revoke, cancel, or deny the license. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,670 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 10,670 | $10.4K |
| Known-Use | Yes | 6,035 | $157 |
| Breakable-Stepsister | Yes | 1,211 | $31 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 688 | $18 |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 477 | $12 |
| Plaintive-Shadowbox | Yes | 462 | $12 |
| Natural-Vacation | No | 400 | $390 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 337 | $9 |
| Feline-Resemblance | Yes | 300 | $8 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 250 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 12:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $21 |
| Oct 23, 12:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $41 |
| Oct 22, 09:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 04:39 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 04:39 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 04:39 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 04:39 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 04:39 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 04:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 06:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.4%. Next is Yes at 2.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/fcc-revokes-a-major-network-broadcast-license-by-december-31-2026-20260717235625543?via=bro
$58.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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