As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 74.0% in Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? — $5.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 74.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -29.5 pts.
Since September 10, 2026, No has traded between 13.0% and 81.5%. It opened at 16.5% and last traded at 74.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 74.0% |
No is favored at 74.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 74¢ | 74.0% | +1.0 pts | $5.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 26¢ | 26.0% | -1.0 pts | $5.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 44¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 48¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.
As of market creation, FedEx is estimated to release earnings on September 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for FedEx’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.05 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FedEx reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $4.05 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If FedEx releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/FDX/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,331 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sympathetic-Prevention | No | 1,331 | $985 |
| Careful-Toughguy | Yes | 505 | $131 |
| Zesty-Studio | Yes | 313 | $81 |
| Trustworthy-Extension-Blouse | Yes | 284 | $74 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 149 | $110 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 135 | $35 |
| Palatable-Tabernacle | Yes | 134 | $35 |
| Prudent-Wheel | Yes | 127 | $33 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 105 | $78 |
| Straight-Apprehension | Yes | 100 | $26 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 06:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.6% | $9 |
| Oct 16, 05:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $7 |
| Oct 15, 04:53 PM ET | No | SELL | 65.0% | $8 |
| Oct 15, 06:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 58.0% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 08:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.7% | $40 |
| Oct 14, 06:43 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 29.0% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 04:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $14 |
| Oct 12, 05:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 58.0% | $3 |
| Oct 10, 05:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $4 |
| Oct 09, 03:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 74.0%. Next is Yes at 26.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/fdx-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-09-16-2026-4pt05?via=bro
$5.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 04:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/FDX/earnings.
No, priced at 74.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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