As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.5% in Fed abolished before 2027? — $8.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +0.1 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 89.0% and 99.1%. It opened at 95.0% and last traded at 98.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 98.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.5% |
No is favored at 98.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 98.5% | — | $8.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $8.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,434 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Babyish-Latter | Yes | 1,434 | $22 |
| Limp-Spec | No | 500 | $492 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | No | 500 | $492 |
| Crazy-Hybridization | Yes | 232 | $4 |
| Courageous-Contrast | Yes | 227 | $4 |
| Happy-Dinosaur | No | 221 | $217 |
| Brisk-Mirror | Yes | 173 | $3 |
| Sleepy-Council | No | 162 | $159 |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 114 | $2 |
| 0x8931aa50… | No | 113 | $111 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.8% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 06:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.5% | $10 |
| Oct 12, 10:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.3% | $2 |
| Oct 11, 08:41 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.3% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 08:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.0% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 02:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $15 |
| Sep 18, 09:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.4% | $0 |
| Sep 18, 04:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.6% | $0 |
| Sep 12, 01:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.2% | $2 |
| Sep 12, 01:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.5%. Next is Yes at 1.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-abolished-before-2027?via=bro
$8.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.