As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.2% in Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? — $252.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.8 pts; past week: +0.1 pts; past month: +1.4 pts.
Since November 12, 2025, No has traded between 65.5% and 97.7%. It opened at 65.5% and last traded at 97.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.0% |
No is favored at 96.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 96.2% | -0.8 pts | $252.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 3.8% | +0.8 pts | $252.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$252.9K has been traded on this event in total, $350 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 20,744 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fabulous-Online | No | 20,744 | $20.0K |
| Daring-Boxer | Yes | 9,704 | $369 |
| Vital-Browser | No | 6,362 | $6.1K |
| Testy-Operator | No | 5,109 | $4.9K |
| Periodic-Slang | Yes | 5,000 | $190 |
| Tough-Anguish | Yes | 4,943 | $188 |
| Impure-Turmeric | No | 3,918 | $3.8K |
| Rectangular-Audit | Yes | 3,905 | $148 |
| 0xe617861a… | No | 3,861 | $3.7K |
| Conscious-Impact | Yes | 3,500 | $133 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.7% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 02:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.7% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 02:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.7% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 02:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 05:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 05:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 04:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.4% | $2.9K |
| Oct 22, 03:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.2% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 03:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.4% | $3.9K |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.2%. Next is Yes at 3.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-emergency-rate-cut-before-2027?via=bro
$252.9K in total volume, with $350 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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