As of October 24, 2026, 07:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 2 at 0.4% in Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...? — $50.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, November 2, is priced at 0.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.2 pts; past month: -1.7 pts.
Since May 12, 2026, November 2 has traded between 0.4% and 49.5%. It opened at 47.5% and last traded at 0.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 0.6% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 0.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 0.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 0.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 0.6% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 0.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 0.4% |
November 2 is favored at 0.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2 | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $27.9K | 55.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 0¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$50.3K has been traded on this event in total, $102 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,698 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 4,698 | $16 |
| Failing-Obsidian | No | 3,986 | $4.0K |
| Admired-Role | No | 2,412 | $2.4K |
| Exalted-Beam | No | 1,398 | $1.4K |
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 1,274 | $4 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 1,097 | $4 |
| Our-Pipeline | Yes | 707 | $2 |
| Pleasing-Elm | Yes | 427 | $1 |
| Embellished-Toast-Cake | No | 409 | $408 |
| Villainous-Crook | No | 281 | $280 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 09:35 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 06:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 03:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $6 |
| Oct 06, 07:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.3% | $1 |
| Oct 06, 04:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.8% | $35 |
| Oct 06, 03:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.5% | $2 |
| Oct 05, 12:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $1 |
| Oct 04, 05:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.3% | $2 |
| Oct 04, 05:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.3% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 2 at 0.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/federal-gas-tax-suspended-by?via=bro
$50.3K in total volume, with $102 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22.
November 2, priced at 0.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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