As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $25M at 9.0% in Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $391.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $25M, is priced at 9.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: -13.0 pts; past month: -7.5 pts.
Since November 28, 2025, $25M has traded between 6.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 91.0% and last traded at 9.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 21.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 15.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 9.0% |
$25M is favored at 9.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $25M | 9¢ | 9.0% | -2.0 pts | $108.0K | 27.6% |
| $10M | 8¢ | 8.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.4K | 0.3% |
| $5M | 8¢ | 7.5% | -2.0 pts | $2.5K | 0.6% |
| $100M | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.1 pts | $51.0K | 13.0% |
| $50M | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.8 pts | $50.5K | 12.9% |
| $300M | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $19.9K | 5.1% |
| $1B | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $50.3K | 12.9% |
| $2B | 2¢ | 1.6% | +0.1 pts | $75.2K | 19.2% |
| $500M | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $19.2K | 4.9% |
| $800M | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $13.3K | 3.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$391.2K has been traded on this event in total, $804 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,617 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thorough-Rainbow | No | 1,617 | $1.5K |
| Annual-Traffic | Yes | 1,606 | $145 |
| Shrill-Cherry | No | 1,321 | $1.2K |
| Adventurous-Dividend | No | 1,292 | $1.2K |
| Bountiful-Sinuosity | Yes | 722 | $65 |
| Used-Motherinlaw | No | 501 | $456 |
| Candid-Lighting | No | 450 | $410 |
| Entire-Statue | Yes | 442 | $40 |
| Cooperative-Thongs | Yes | 407 | $37 |
| Prudent-Realization-Farrow | No | 318 | $289 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.3% | $76 |
| Oct 24, 12:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 10:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $36 |
| Oct 24, 07:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.6% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 10:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 10:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 06:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.1% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 06:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $25M at 9.0%. Next is $10M at 8.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/felix-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$391.2K in total volume, with $804 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
$25M, priced at 9.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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