As of October 24, 2026, 08:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 6.5+ passing TDs at 53.5% in Pro Football: Fernando Mendoza 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns — $3.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 6.5+ passing TDs, is priced at 53.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.0 pts; past month: +25.5 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 6.5+ passing TDs has traded between 22.5% and 80.5%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 53.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 25.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 53.5% |
6.5+ passing TDs is favored at 53.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5+ passing TDs | 54¢ | 53.5% | — | $568 | 15.8% |
| 12.5+ passing TDs | 17¢ | 17.0% | -3.5 pts | $1.2K | 32.1% |
| 15.5+ passing TDs | 16¢ | 16.0% | — | $684 | 19.0% |
| 18.5+ passing TDs | 14¢ | 14.5% | -37.5 pts | $9 | 0.3% |
| 9.5+ passing TDs | 12¢ | 12.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.2K | 32.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 69¢ (bid 19¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Fernando Mendoza records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 6.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Fernando Mendoza does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Fernando Mendoza recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 165 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chief-Plot | No | 165 | $77 |
| Prickly-Lacquerware | Yes | 105 | $56 |
| Insignificant-Forelimb | Yes | 40 | $21 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | Yes | 20 | $11 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 02:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 02:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $8 |
| Oct 20, 01:53 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $7 |
| Oct 16, 08:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 16, 08:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $16 |
| Oct 16, 10:08 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 09:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 07:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $3 |
| Oct 16, 07:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $140 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is 6.5+ passing TDs at 53.5%. Next is 12.5+ passing TDs at 17.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/fernando-mendoza-passing-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$3.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
6.5+ passing TDs, priced at 53.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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