Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 98.0% in First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election? — $586 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Yes
98%
A 98.0% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
30D +2.1 pts
Yes98.0%
No2.0%
Bid
96¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
4¢
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Range since August 14, 2026: 48.0% – 98.0% · Opened at 48.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?
Category
Midterms, Politics, Elections, Midterm MOV, Georgia Midterm, House Elections
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$586
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$14.9K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Yes — 98.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 98.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past month: +2.1 pts.

Since August 14, 2026, Yes has traded between 48.0% and 98.0%. It opened at 48.0% and last traded at 98.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202698.0%
Oct 18, 202697.8%
Oct 19, 202698.0%
Oct 20, 202698.0%
Oct 22, 202698.0%
Oct 23, 202698.0%
Oct 24, 202698.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yes is favored at 98.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yes98¢98.0%—$586100.0%
No2¢2.0%—$586100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$586 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 58 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueNo58$1
Energetic-GaspYes54$53
Darling-JazzNo54$1
Straight-ApprehensionYes52$51
Awesome-AvailabilityYes44$43
Easy-Going-HomelandYes42$41
Helpful-CheeseNo31$1
Grim-GarageNo21$0
0xd5cd7a57…No20$0
0xe3a0bbf1…No10$0

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $135 at 91.0%BUY No — $59 at 88.7%SELL Yes — $37 at 93.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 17, 04:07 AM ETYesBUY62.6%$13
Oct 17, 02:08 AM ETNoBUY33.2%$3
Oct 06, 07:15 PM ETYesSELL48.7%$5
Oct 06, 07:34 AM ETYesBUY61.0%$13
Oct 06, 07:32 AM ETYesBUY48.3%$10
Oct 03, 09:36 PM ETYesSELL26.2%$7
Aug 25, 04:45 AM ETNoBUY10.0%$5
Aug 24, 08:12 PM ETYesSELL95.1%$24
Aug 15, 07:34 AM ETNoBUY7.0%$1
Aug 15, 03:25 AM ETYesSELL93.0%$16

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 98.0%. Next is No at 2.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/first-round-outright-winner-in-the-ga-13-house-election?via=bro

How much money has been traded on First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election??

$586 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?, according to Polymarket traders?

Yes, priced at 98.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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