As of October 24, 2026, 08:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 82.5% in First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election? — $4.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 82.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +8.6 pts; past week: -7.0 pts; past month: +23.4 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Yes has traded between 53.0% and 93.5%. It opened at 53.0% and last traded at 71.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 58.1% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 68.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 65.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 59.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 71.9% |
Yes is favored at 82.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 83¢ | 82.5% | +8.6 pts | $4.6K | 100.0% |
| No | 17¢ | 17.4% | -8.6 pts | $4.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 32¢ (bid 66¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 569 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Functional-Heartthrob | No | 569 | $99 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 330 | $272 |
| Straight-Apprehension | Yes | 300 | $248 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 289 | $50 |
| Powerless-Bijou | Yes | 224 | $185 |
| Primary-Agent | Yes | 219 | $181 |
| Liquid-Argument | No | 196 | $34 |
| Expensive-Struggle | Yes | 150 | $124 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 102 | $18 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 75 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 06:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.1% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 07:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 49.0% | $10 |
| Oct 20, 04:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 4.3% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 01:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 17.3% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 11:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.2% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 10:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.3% | $28 |
| Oct 16, 12:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 19.7% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 11:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 4.5% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 06:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 88.0% | $51 |
| Oct 12, 03:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 88.0% | $26 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 82.5%. Next is No at 17.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/first-round-outright-winner-in-the-georgia-governor-election?via=bro
$4.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 82.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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