As of October 24, 2026, 09:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 61.5% in First Round Outright Winner in the Vermont Governor Election? — $1.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 61.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: -10.5 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, Yes has traded between 61.0% and 77.0%. It opened at 76.0% and last traded at 61.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 61.0% |
Yes is favored at 61.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62¢ | 61.5% | +2.5 pts | $1.5K | 100.0% |
| No | 38¢ | 38.5% | -2.5 pts | $1.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 65¢ (bid 29¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 midterm Vermont Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes cast. If no candidate wins a majority, the Vermont General Assembly will elect the Governor. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Vermont Governor election outright by receiving more than 50% of the valid votes cast. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Vermont Governor election.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 376 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Same-Deodorant | Yes | 376 | $231 |
| Outlandish-Complicity | No | 177 | $68 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 110 | $43 |
| Joyous-Catalyst | No | 80 | $31 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 22 | $14 |
| Golden-Panpipe | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 20 | $8 |
| Venerated-Worm | No | 20 | $8 |
| Babyish-Starboard | No | 6 | $2 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 02:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 02:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $15 |
| Oct 22, 01:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 01:48 AM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 10:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 10:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 29.0% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 09:51 PM ET | No | BUY | 28.0% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 07:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $27 |
| Oct 20, 01:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 17, 01:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 33.0% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 61.5%. Next is No at 38.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/first-round-outright-winner-in-the-vermont-governor-election?via=bro
$1.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 61.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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