As of October 24, 2026, 06:37 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Salt Lake City, UT by November 30 at 96.8% in First snow of the 2026 season — $38.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Salt Lake City, UT by November 30, is priced at 96.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +6.2 pts; past month: +10.8 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, Salt Lake City, UT by November 30 has traded between 56.0% and 96.7%. It opened at 90.5% and last traded at 96.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.4% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.7% |
Salt Lake City, UT by November 30 is favored at 96.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City, UT by November 30 | 97¢ | 96.8% | +0.1 pts | $1.5K | 3.9% |
| Denver, CO by November 30 | 97¢ | 96.5% | +0.1 pts | $488 | 1.3% |
| Buffalo, NY by November 30 | 96¢ | 96.5% | +31.8 pts | $214 | 0.6% |
| Pittsburgh, PA by November 30 | 94¢ | 94.0% | — | $1.4K | 3.7% |
| Minneapolis, MN by November 30 | 85¢ | 85.0% | +5.0 pts | $826 | 2.2% |
| Kansas City, MO by November 30 | 84¢ | 84.5% | +4.5 pts | $627 | 1.6% |
| Chicago, IL by November 30 | 82¢ | 81.5% | — | $482 | 1.3% |
| Minneapolis, MN by November 15 | 72¢ | 71.5% | -2.5 pts | $330 | 0.9% |
| Detroit, MI by November 30 | 72¢ | 71.5% | -4.0 pts | $764 | 2.0% |
| New York City, NY by November 30 | 68¢ | 67.5% | -6.5 pts | $1.4K | 3.7% |
| Pittsburgh, PA by November 15 | 66¢ | 65.5% | -2.5 pts | $1.3K | 3.5% |
| St. Louis, MO by November 30 | 64¢ | 63.5% | -1.0 pts | $944 | 2.5% |
| Minneapolis, MN by October 31 | 61¢ | 61.0% | +31.5 pts | $1.6K | 4.3% |
| Washington, DC by November 30 | 60¢ | 59.5% | -1.0 pts | $488 | 1.3% |
| Denver, CO by November 15 | 58¢ | 57.8% | -3.4 pts | $473 | 1.2% |
| Indianapolis, IN by November 15 | 57¢ | 57.0% | -5.5 pts | $3.1K | 8.2% |
| Buffalo, NY by November 15 | 54¢ | 54.0% | — | $1.6K | 4.2% |
| Indianapolis, IN by November 30 | 53¢ | 53.4% | -0.5 pts | $1.2K | 3.2% |
| Kansas City, MO by November 15 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $902 | 2.4% |
| Boston, MA by November 30 | 48¢ | 47.5% | -3.5 pts | $1.7K | 4.4% |
| Detroit, MI by November 15 | 46¢ | 46.5% | +14.0 pts | $3.6K | 9.5% |
| Chicago, IL by November 15 | 41¢ | 41.0% | — | $2.3K | 5.9% |
| Cincinnati, OH by November 30 | 41¢ | 41.0% | +0.5 pts | $651 | 1.7% |
| Salt Lake City, UT by November 15 | 40¢ | 40.5% | — | $981 | 2.6% |
| Philadelphia, PA by November 30 | 40¢ | 40.5% | +9.5 pts | $2.2K | 5.8% |
| Boston, MA by November 15 | 39¢ | 39.0% | -1.5 pts | $533 | 1.4% |
| Salt Lake City, UT by October 31 | 36¢ | 36.5% | +6.5 pts | $1.5K | 4.0% |
| Buffalo, NY by October 31 | 35¢ | 35.0% | +11.5 pts | $2.0K | 5.2% |
| Nashville, TN by November 30 | 34¢ | 34.0% | -51.5 pts | $689 | 1.8% |
| Denver, CO by October 31 | 24¢ | 24.0% | — | $1.6K | 4.1% |
| Dallas, TX by November 30 | 21¢ | 21.0% | — | $764 | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$38.2K has been traded on this event in total, $507 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Salt Lake City, UT records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Snowfall for Salt Lake City, UT is measured only at station KSLC, which the National Weather Service reports as "SALT LAKE CITY UT" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count. Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window. The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KSLC (midnight to midnight local time, America/Denver). Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=SLC&product=CLI&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 433 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sympathetic-Prevention | Yes | 433 | $419 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 212 | $7 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 115 | $4 |
| Known-Use | No | 80 | $3 |
| Small-Notebook | Yes | 39 | $37 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 35 | $1 |
| Secondary-Confectionery | Yes | 21 | $21 |
| Sneaky-Spouse | Yes | 21 | $20 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 21 | $1 |
| Mortified-Wetland | No | 21 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 01:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 01:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 12:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $24 |
| Oct 23, 07:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 52.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 03:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $24 |
| Oct 23, 07:59 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $14 |
| Oct 22, 04:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 58.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 08:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $36 |
| Oct 21, 08:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $34 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Salt Lake City, UT by November 30 at 96.8%. Next is Denver, CO by November 30 at 96.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026?via=bro
$38.2K in total volume, with $507 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=SLC&product=CLI&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0.
Salt Lake City, UT by November 30, priced at 96.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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