As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price None by December 25, 2026 at 91.5% in First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET? — $444.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, None by December 25, 2026, is priced at 91.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +7.0 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, None by December 25, 2026 has traded between 48.5% and 91.5%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 91.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 91.5% |
None by December 25, 2026 is favored at 91.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None by December 25, 2026 | 92¢ | 91.5% | — | $87.5K | 19.7% |
| Artificial Inu (AI) | 4¢ | 4.5% | -0.5 pts | $128.9K | 29.0% |
| Cash Cat (CASHCAT) | 4¢ | 4.0% | +0.3 pts | $91.8K | 20.7% |
| The Black Bull (ANSEM) | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $71.6K | 16.1% |
| NetNet (NET) | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $64.8K | 14.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 91¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$444.6K has been traded on this event in total, $3.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if none of the coins listed below reaches a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this market and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Fully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as "Fully Diluted Valuation" on CoinGecko and as "FDV" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used. The coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are: - Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat - Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/ - The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull - NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet A coin reaches the threshold at the first moment its fully diluted valuation, as displayed on its resolution source, is equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 40,192 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 40,192 | $3.4K |
| Far-Carbon | Yes | 16,500 | $15.1K |
| Quizzical-Hire | Yes | 12,134 | $11.1K |
| Aggravating-Leadership | Yes | 3,952 | $3.6K |
| Candid-Lighting | Yes | 3,000 | $2.7K |
| Jam-Packed-Dividend | Yes | 1,803 | $1.6K |
| Few-Prevention | No | 1,497 | $127 |
| Unaware-Jackal | Yes | 1,398 | $1.3K |
| Inconsequential-Executor | No | 1,250 | $106 |
| Vacant-Subject | Yes | 1,209 | $1.1K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 10:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.0% | $368 |
| Oct 23, 09:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.9% | $2.3K |
| Oct 23, 06:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.0% | $463 |
| Oct 23, 12:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $140 |
| Oct 23, 12:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.8% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 12:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.8% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 12:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $35 |
| Oct 23, 10:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.6% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 10:08 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 09:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is None by December 25, 2026 at 91.5%. Next is Artificial Inu (AI) at 4.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/first-to-hit-1b-fdv-ansem-cashcat-ai-or-net-20260902214135?via=bro
$444.6K in total volume, with $3.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat.
None by December 25, 2026, priced at 91.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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