Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Robinhood at 35.0% in First to list tokenized stocks in the US? — $93.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $3.4K.
Leading outcome
Robinhood
35%
A 35.0% price implies roughly a 35-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.5 pts7D −4.5 pts30D +5.5 pts
Robinhood35.0%
No listing by December 31, 202730.4%
Bid
34¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 17, 2026: 18.0% – 64.5% · Opened at 18.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
First to list tokenized stocks in the US?
Category
Crypto, coinbase, Robinhood, Crypto Listings
Scheduled end
December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$93.4K
Volume (24h)
$3.4K
Liquidity
$6.5K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
Robinhood — 35.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Robinhood, is priced at 35.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: -4.5 pts; past month: +5.5 pts.

Since September 17, 2026, Robinhood has traded between 18.0% and 64.5%. It opened at 18.0% and last traded at 36.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202639.5%
Oct 17, 202639.5%
Oct 18, 202639.5%
Oct 19, 202639.5%
Oct 20, 202623.5%
Oct 22, 202636.5%
Oct 23, 202636.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Robinhood is favored at 35.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Robinhood35¢35.0%-1.5 pts$19.4K20.7%
No listing by December 31, 202730¢30.4%-5.9 pts$18.6K19.9%
Coinbase22¢21.5%+9.0 pts$17.1K18.3%
Kraken10¢10.1%+4.0 pts$33.1K35.4%
Gemini3¢3.3%-0.2 pts$5.3K5.6%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$93.4K has been traded on this event in total, $3.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to the first of the listed platforms to make tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States after September 17, 2026. If none of the listed platforms do so by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No listing by December 31, 2027". A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is either backed one-to-one by that security or is itself a share of that security recorded on a blockchain. Tokens tracking shares of private companies, synthetic or derivative products that track a stock's price without being backed by the underlying shares, and stablecoins will not count. Tokenized stocks are available on a platform when customers holding a U.S. account with that platform are able to buy at least one tokenized stock on that platform, regardless of subscription tier or account minimum. Availability to customers in at least one U.S. state will qualify. Availability limited to customers outside the United States, accredited investors, internal or employee testing, waitlists, and invite-only programs will not qualify. Purchases through a self-custodial wallet or a decentralized exchange, including one reached through the platform's app, will not count. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,334 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No2,334$1.5K
Subdued-RevenantYes1,179$413
0x3a9dad53…Yes539$189
Attentive-CrewmanYes360$126
0xa169f83d…Yes312$109
Belated-GlueYes238$83
Kosher-IcebreakerNo200$130
Clear-Cut-TunaYes125$44
Average-TugboatNo123$80
0xca75fbad…No120$78

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $1.5K at 61.4%BUY Yes — $673 at 30.3%SELL No — $593 at 73.4%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:31 PM ETYesBUY7.2%$20
Oct 24, 06:49 PM ETNoBUY68.1%$34
Oct 24, 06:47 PM ETYesSELL36.0%$2
Oct 24, 06:47 PM ETYesSELL5.1%$3
Oct 24, 06:47 PM ETYesSELL31.9%$16
Oct 24, 06:47 PM ETYesSELL36.0%$18
Oct 24, 05:59 PM ETNoSELL73.4%$593
Oct 24, 05:59 PM ETYesBUY28.5%$27
Oct 24, 05:59 PM ETYesBUY28.5%$14
Oct 24, 03:56 PM ETYesSELL23.9%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of First to list tokenized stocks in the US??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Robinhood at 35.0%. Next is No listing by December 31, 2027 at 30.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/first-to-list-tokenized-stocks-in-the-us?via=bro

How much money has been traded on First to list tokenized stocks in the US??

$93.4K in total volume, with $3.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does First to list tokenized stocks in the US? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of First to list tokenized stocks in the US?, according to Polymarket traders?

Robinhood, priced at 35.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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