As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Robinhood at 35.0% in First to list tokenized stocks in the US? — $93.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Robinhood, is priced at 35.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: -4.5 pts; past month: +5.5 pts.
Since September 17, 2026, Robinhood has traded between 18.0% and 64.5%. It opened at 18.0% and last traded at 36.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 23.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 36.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 36.5% |
Robinhood is favored at 35.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robinhood | 35¢ | 35.0% | -1.5 pts | $19.4K | 20.7% |
| No listing by December 31, 2027 | 30¢ | 30.4% | -5.9 pts | $18.6K | 19.9% |
| Coinbase | 22¢ | 21.5% | +9.0 pts | $17.1K | 18.3% |
| Kraken | 10¢ | 10.1% | +4.0 pts | $33.1K | 35.4% |
| Gemini | 3¢ | 3.3% | -0.2 pts | $5.3K | 5.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$93.4K has been traded on this event in total, $3.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the first of the listed platforms to make tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States after September 17, 2026. If none of the listed platforms do so by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No listing by December 31, 2027". A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is either backed one-to-one by that security or is itself a share of that security recorded on a blockchain. Tokens tracking shares of private companies, synthetic or derivative products that track a stock's price without being backed by the underlying shares, and stablecoins will not count. Tokenized stocks are available on a platform when customers holding a U.S. account with that platform are able to buy at least one tokenized stock on that platform, regardless of subscription tier or account minimum. Availability to customers in at least one U.S. state will qualify. Availability limited to customers outside the United States, accredited investors, internal or employee testing, waitlists, and invite-only programs will not qualify. Purchases through a self-custodial wallet or a decentralized exchange, including one reached through the platform's app, will not count. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,334 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,334 | $1.5K |
| Subdued-Revenant | Yes | 1,179 | $413 |
| 0x3a9dad53… | Yes | 539 | $189 |
| Attentive-Crewman | Yes | 360 | $126 |
| 0xa169f83d… | Yes | 312 | $109 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 238 | $83 |
| Kosher-Icebreaker | No | 200 | $130 |
| Clear-Cut-Tuna | Yes | 125 | $44 |
| Average-Tugboat | No | 123 | $80 |
| 0xca75fbad… | No | 120 | $78 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.2% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 06:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.1% | $34 |
| Oct 24, 06:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.1% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 31.9% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 06:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 05:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 73.4% | $593 |
| Oct 24, 05:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.5% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 05:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.5% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 03:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.9% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Robinhood at 35.0%. Next is No listing by December 31, 2027 at 30.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/first-to-list-tokenized-stocks-in-the-us?via=bro
$93.4K in total volume, with $3.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Robinhood, priced at 35.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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