As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 99.4% in FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31? — $11.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 99.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.4 pts.
Since September 30, 2026, No has traded between 92.5% and 99.4%. It opened at 92.5% and last traded at 99.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 99.4% |
No is favored at 99.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99¢ | 99.4% | — | $11.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $11.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 1¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
On September 30, 2026, FlyDubai flight FZ1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv diverted to Saudi Arabia following an incident in the cockpit in which the co-pilot allegedly stabbed the captain. The co-pilot was taken into custody in Saudi Arabia (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/diverted-flydubai-flight-israel-was-not-hijacking-incident-israeli-prime-2026-09-30/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the referenced co-pilot is transported to Israeli custody within the territory of Israel between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The co-pilot must actually enter Israeli territory for this market to resolve to “Yes.” Announcements or statements of intent will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia and Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,861 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smoggy-Sunglasses | No | 2,861 | $2.8K |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 680 | $4 |
| True-Parallelogram | No | 612 | $608 |
| Pricey-Cassava | Yes | 581 | $3 |
| Ringed-Gambling | Yes | 450 | $3 |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 426 | $3 |
| Ironclad-Clipboard | Yes | 218 | $1 |
| Bitter-Cartoon | No | 210 | $209 |
| Damp-Netball | Yes | 200 | $1 |
| Ironclad-Sleeping-Insurance | Yes | 193 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 05:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $6 |
| Oct 18, 03:26 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 12:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.9% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 03:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 02:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 02:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.5% | $3 |
| Oct 14, 07:25 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.5% | $0 |
| Oct 13, 11:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.7% | $0 |
| Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.4% | $739 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 99.4%. Next is Yes at 0.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/flydubai-co-pilot-transferred-to-israel-by-octpt-31?via=bro
$11.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 99.4% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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