As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate A at 50.0% in French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place — $37.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Candidate A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Candidate A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 39¢ | 39.0% | +3.0 pts | $3.7K | 9.9% |
| Édouard Philippe | 20¢ | 20.5% | -8.5 pts | $3.8K | 10.0% |
| David Lisnard | 18¢ | 17.8% | +5.0 pts | $8.1K | 21.3% |
| Marine Le Pen | 10¢ | 10.5% | -0.5 pts | $5.2K | 13.6% |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10¢ | 9.5% | -1.5 pts | $4.1K | 10.8% |
| François Hollande | 2¢ | 1.7% | +0.3 pts | $1.8K | 4.7% |
| Bruno Retailleau | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.2 pts | $1.9K | 4.9% |
| Gabriel Attal | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.2 pts | $1.5K | 4.0% |
| Éric Zemmour | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $976 | 2.6% |
| Dominique de Villepin | 0¢ | 0.3% | +0.1 pts | $1.1K | 2.8% |
| Jordan Bardella | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.4K | 3.7% |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.4 pts | $1.5K | 3.9% |
| Sarah Knafo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $424 | 1.1% |
| Christine Lagarde | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.5 pts | $1.2K | 3.2% |
| François Ruffin | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $614 | 1.6% |
| Marine Tondelier | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $667 | 1.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$37.8K has been traded on this event in total, $12.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 43 markets.
This market is scheduled to end April 18, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,745 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,745 | $873 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 333 | $166 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 280 | $140 |
| Murky-Repayment | Yes | 210 | $105 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 150 | $75 |
| Tepid-Monopoly | Yes | 138 | $69 |
| Velvety-Burn | Yes | 115 | $58 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 78 | $39 |
| Messy-Ritual-Hops | Yes | 68 | $34 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 60 | $30 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.5% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 02:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.9% | $57 |
| Oct 24, 02:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.5% | $69 |
| Oct 24, 02:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.9% | $49 |
| Oct 24, 02:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $49 |
| Oct 24, 02:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.9% | $105 |
| Oct 24, 02:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.8% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 02:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.8% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 02:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.7% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate A at 50.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/french-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place?via=bro
$37.8K in total volume, with $12.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 43 markets.
The market is scheduled to end April 18, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.
Candidate A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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