Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 88.5% in FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026? — $2.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
88%
A 88.5% price implies roughly a 88-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.5 pts7D −5.0 pts30D −5.0 pts
No88.5%
Yes11.5%
Bid
10¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 18, 2026: 59.5% – 89.0% · Opened at 88.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?
Category
AI, ftc, Tech, Big Tech, Politics, Anthropic, AI Regulation
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$2.2K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$10.4K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 88.5%
Resolution source
https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 88.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -5.0 pts; past month: -5.0 pts.

Since September 18, 2026, No has traded between 59.5% and 89.0%. It opened at 88.0% and last traded at 88.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202683.0%
Oct 18, 202683.5%
Oct 19, 202683.5%
Oct 20, 202685.0%
Oct 23, 202689.0%
Oct 24, 202688.5%
Oct 24, 202688.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 88.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No88¢88.5%-0.5 pts$2.2K100.0%
Yes12¢11.5%+0.5 pts$2.2K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Trade Commission (FTC) publicly announces or confirms that it has opened an investigation, issued orders under Section 6(b) of the FTC Act, or filed an enforcement action concerning the acquisition, scanning, or destruction of print books by AI companies for use in training AI models (the "book destruction practice"), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". On August 21, 2026, a coalition of 18 civil society groups, including Demand Progress Education Fund, the Consumer Federation of America, and the Institute for Local Self-Reliance, asked the FTC to investigate whether the bulk purchase, destructive scanning, and disposal of print books by AI companies (the practice described in the copyright litigation Bartz v. Anthropic) constitutes an unfair method of competition under Section 5 of the FTC Act, including through the FTC's Section 6(b) study authority. An AI company means any company that develops, trains, or operates AI models, and includes a contractor or vendor that acquires, scans, or disposes of print books on such a company's behalf. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 610 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Crazy-FishmongerNo610$540
Belated-GlueYes502$58
Unwitting-FloorYes80$9
Monthly-Squid-TabbyYes77$9
Tangible-Exasperation-GritNo48$43
Gleaming-HandlebarYes20$2
Direct-ChainstayYes20$2
Required-HornNo20$18
Costly-SwellNo11$10
Oddball-PoisonYes10$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $98 at 85.0%BUY No — $81 at 85.0%SELL No — $40 at 88.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 09:35 AM ETYesSELL10.0%$0
Oct 23, 09:24 AM ETNoSELL87.0%$2
Oct 23, 09:23 AM ETYesBUY12.0%$2
Oct 23, 09:23 AM ETYesBUY12.0%$3
Oct 23, 09:23 AM ETNoSELL88.0%$40
Oct 23, 09:08 AM ETNoSELL89.0%$4
Oct 23, 08:09 AM ETNoBUY90.0%$4
Oct 22, 05:00 PM ETNoSELL88.0%$4
Oct 22, 11:37 AM ETNoSELL87.0%$5
Oct 21, 03:56 PM ETNoSELL87.0%$4

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 88.5%. Next is Yes at 11.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ftc-opens-investigation-into-ai-book-destruction-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026??

$2.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases.

What is the most likely outcome of FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 88.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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