As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 88.5% in FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026? — $2.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 88.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -5.0 pts; past month: -5.0 pts.
Since September 18, 2026, No has traded between 59.5% and 89.0%. It opened at 88.0% and last traded at 88.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.5% |
No is favored at 88.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 88¢ | 88.5% | -0.5 pts | $2.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 12¢ | 11.5% | +0.5 pts | $2.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Trade Commission (FTC) publicly announces or confirms that it has opened an investigation, issued orders under Section 6(b) of the FTC Act, or filed an enforcement action concerning the acquisition, scanning, or destruction of print books by AI companies for use in training AI models (the "book destruction practice"), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". On August 21, 2026, a coalition of 18 civil society groups, including Demand Progress Education Fund, the Consumer Federation of America, and the Institute for Local Self-Reliance, asked the FTC to investigate whether the bulk purchase, destructive scanning, and disposal of print books by AI companies (the practice described in the copyright litigation Bartz v. Anthropic) constitutes an unfair method of competition under Section 5 of the FTC Act, including through the FTC's Section 6(b) study authority. An AI company means any company that develops, trains, or operates AI models, and includes a contractor or vendor that acquires, scans, or disposes of print books on such a company's behalf. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 610 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 610 | $540 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 502 | $58 |
| Unwitting-Floor | Yes | 80 | $9 |
| Monthly-Squid-Tabby | Yes | 77 | $9 |
| Tangible-Exasperation-Grit | No | 48 | $43 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Required-Horn | No | 20 | $18 |
| Costly-Swell | No | 11 | $10 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 10 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 09:35 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 09:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 09:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 09:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 09:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $40 |
| Oct 23, 09:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 08:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 05:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 11:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 03:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 88.5%. Next is Yes at 11.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ftc-opens-investigation-into-ai-book-destruction-in-2026?via=bro
$2.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases.
No, priced at 88.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.