As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Masao Uchibori at 98.5% in Fukushima Governor Election Winner — $7.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Masao Uchibori, is priced at 98.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.1 pts; past week: +4.8 pts; past month: +1.9 pts.
Since August 20, 2026, Masao Uchibori has traded between 92.0% and 99.4%. It opened at 93.5% and last traded at 96.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 95.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.3% |
Masao Uchibori is favored at 98.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masao Uchibori | 98¢ | 98.5% | +2.1 pts | $6.7K | 85.6% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kunihiko Hasenuma | 1¢ | 0.5% | -1.6 pts | $373 | 4.8% |
| Yudai Endo | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.4 pts | $407 | 5.2% |
| Jun Kanayama | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $342 | 4.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.8K has been traded on this event in total, $1.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).
Resolution source: https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,250 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cooperative-Gasket | Yes | 1,250 | $1.2K |
| Ordinary-Dress | No | 900 | $14 |
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 873 | $860 |
| Quarterly-Compress | Yes | 464 | $457 |
| Perfumed-Moat | No | 418 | $6 |
| Evil-Row | No | 401 | $6 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 276 | $4 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 235 | $4 |
| This-Wiretap | No | 229 | $4 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 219 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 07:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 06:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 10:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.3% | $546 |
| Oct 24, 10:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.2% | $327 |
| Oct 24, 10:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.9% | $362 |
| Oct 24, 02:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.1% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.1% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 01:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.6% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 12:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 6.3% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Masao Uchibori at 98.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/fukushima-governor-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$7.8K in total volume, with $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/.
Masao Uchibori, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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