As of October 24, 2026, 08:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $2B at 44.5% in Fuse Energy FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $5.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $2B, is priced at 44.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: +14.5 pts; past month: +29.0 pts.
Since April 04, 2026, $2B has traded between 9.0% and 53.0%. It opened at 26.0% and last traded at 47.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 47.0% |
$2B is favored at 44.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2B | 44¢ | 44.5% | -1.5 pts | $197 | 3.8% |
| $800M | 42¢ | 42.0% | +0.5 pts | $544 | 10.6% |
| $10B | 41¢ | 41.3% | -1.7 pts | $630 | 12.3% |
| $3B | 27¢ | 27.0% | -2.5 pts | $319 | 6.2% |
| $5B | 26¢ | 25.5% | — | $462 | 9.0% |
| $4B | 24¢ | 24.0% | -18.0 pts | $626 | 12.2% |
| $1B | 23¢ | 23.0% | -1.5 pts | $375 | 7.3% |
| $7B | 22¢ | 21.8% | +0.7 pts | $700 | 13.7% |
| $6B | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $741 | 14.5% |
| $8B | 11¢ | 10.9% | +0.1 pts | $533 | 10.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 73¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 81¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Fuse's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Fuse will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Fuse (https://x.com/fuseenergy) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/fuseenergy
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 72 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 72 | $32 |
| Unusual-Animal | No | 67 | $37 |
| Delectable-Waistband-Star | No | 5 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 04:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 07:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $12 |
| Oct 12, 10:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.8% | $4 |
| Oct 10, 05:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.6% | $10 |
| Oct 10, 05:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $2 |
| Oct 10, 05:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $2 |
| Oct 10, 05:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $2 |
| Oct 06, 07:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $26 |
| Oct 05, 07:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.7% | $2 |
| Oct 05, 07:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is $2B at 44.5%. Next is $800M at 42.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/fuse-energy-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-774?via=bro
$5.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/fuseenergy.
$2B, priced at 44.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
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