As of October 24, 2026, 09:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 29.5% in García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…? — $1.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 29.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: +24.0 pts.
Since June 17, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 5.5% and 53.5%. It opened at 53.5% and last traded at 20.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 27.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 20.0% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 29.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 30¢ | 29.5% | — | $871 | 61.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 39¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 49¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.4K has been traded on this event in total, $21 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 200 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgaron | No | 200 | $141 |
| Brown-Shipyard | No | 164 | $115 |
| Personal-Singular | Yes | 156 | $46 |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 120 | $35 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 115 | $34 |
| Somber-Phrase | No | 108 | $76 |
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 39 | $11 |
| Distorted-Scooter | Yes | 30 | $9 |
| Honest-Basil | Yes | 16 | $5 |
| High-Boar | No | 5 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 09:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 01:22 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 09:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 08:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 10:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $6 |
| Oct 08, 07:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $18 |
| Oct 08, 07:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 03, 11:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $2 |
| Sep 10, 01:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $95 |
| Sep 10, 01:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 29.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/garcia-out-as-governor-of-nuevo-leon-by-20260616210708807?via=bro
$1.4K in total volume, with $21 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 29.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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