As of October 24, 2026, 08:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 81.0% in Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? — $3.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 81.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +1.0 pts; past month: +5.0 pts.
Since June 17, 2026, No has traded between 45.0% and 93.5%. It opened at 69.0% and last traded at 81.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 81.0% |
No is favored at 81.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 81¢ | 81.0% | -1.0 pts | $3.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 19¢ | 19.0% | +1.0 pts | $3.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 14¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 26¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of either Governor Gavin Newsom or Jennifer Siebel Newsom between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 131 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 131 | $25 |
| Concrete-Horn | No | 115 | $93 |
| Intent-Beck | No | 85 | $69 |
| Only-Spirituality | Yes | 50 | $10 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 40 | $8 |
| Known-Use | No | 33 | $27 |
| Woozy-Locust | No | 25 | $20 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 24 | $19 |
| Wet-Event | Yes | 20 | $4 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 11:52 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 05:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $7 |
| Oct 12, 10:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $15 |
| Oct 12, 10:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 12, 10:03 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.0% | $0 |
| Oct 10, 11:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $4 |
| Oct 10, 09:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $15 |
| Oct 10, 08:29 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $2 |
| Oct 10, 08:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $7 |
| Oct 10, 08:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 81.0%. Next is Yes at 19.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/gavin-newsom-or-his-wife-federally-charged-by-december-31-2026-20260616161140638?via=bro
$3.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 81.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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