As of October 24, 2026, 09:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Up at 64.5% in British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD) Up or Down on September 8? — $73 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Up, is priced at 64.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +12.5 pts.
Since September 04, 2026, Up has traded between 0.5% and 64.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 64.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 64.5% |
Up is favored at 64.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up | 65¢ | 64.5% | — | $73 | 100.0% |
| Down | 35¢ | 35.4% | — | $73 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 69¢ (bid 30¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$73 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end September 08, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD) on September 8, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.GBP%2FUSD
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 15 shares of Down.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frail-Item | Down | 15 | $5 |
| Cool-Storyboard | Up | 10 | $6 |
| Writhing-Retention | Up | 5 | $3 |
| Voluminous-Lava | Up | 2 | $1 |
| Meaty-Pseudoscience | Down | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 11:34 PM ET | Up | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Sep 18, 12:14 PM ET | Up | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Sep 12, 02:44 AM ET | Down | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Sep 12, 02:44 AM ET | Up | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Sep 09, 03:14 AM ET | Up | BUY | 55.0% | $3 |
| Sep 08, 07:25 PM ET | Down | BUY | 99.9% | $15 |
| Sep 08, 05:00 PM ET | Down | BUY | 85.1% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Up at 64.5%. Next is Down at 35.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/gbpusd-up-or-down-on-september-8-2026?via=bro
$73 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end September 08, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.GBP%2FUSD.
Up, priced at 64.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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