As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 66.5% in Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings? — $860 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 66.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +23.0 pts; past week: -3.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 43.5% and 70.5%. It opened at 69.0% and last traded at 43.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 43.5% |
Yes is favored at 66.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66¢ | 66.5% | +23.0 pts | $860 | 100.0% |
| No | 34¢ | 33.5% | -23.0 pts | $860 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 64¢ / ask 69¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$860 has been traded on this event in total, $350 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 22, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, General Dynamics is estimated to release earnings on October 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for General Dynamics's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.26 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if General Dynamics reports GAAP EPS greater than $4.26 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If General Dynamics releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/GD/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 250 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worn-Term-Silicon | No | 250 | $84 |
| Frosty-Funding | Yes | 223 | $148 |
| Key-Velocity | Yes | 110 | $73 |
| Agreeable-Appreciation | No | 91 | $30 |
| Delicious-Puppy-Consequence | No | 50 | $17 |
| Careful-Toughguy | Yes | 48 | $32 |
| These-Latency-Perspective | Yes | 20 | $13 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 10 | $3 |
| Far-Off-Hose | No | 2 | $1 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 2 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 52.1% | $130 |
| Oct 24, 06:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $28 |
| Oct 23, 11:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $24 |
| Oct 23, 05:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 60.0% | $30 |
| Oct 23, 05:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.8% | $82 |
| Oct 21, 06:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 01:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 66.0% | $13 |
| Oct 21, 11:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $34 |
| Oct 20, 08:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 06:59 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 64.0% | $23 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 66.5%. Next is No at 33.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/gd-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-22-2026-4pt26?via=bro
$860 in total volume, with $350 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 22, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/GD/earnings.
Yes, priced at 66.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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