As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 4M-4.2M at 29.5% in Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) — $18.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 4M-4.2M, is priced at 29.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.5 pts; past week: +1.0 pts; past month: -4.0 pts.
Since August 18, 2026, 4M-4.2M has traded between 18.0% and 48.0%. It opened at 41.5% and last traded at 29.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 33.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 33.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 29.5% |
4M-4.2M is favored at 29.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4M-4.2M | 30¢ | 29.5% | -4.5 pts | $5.9K | 31.2% |
| 4.2M-4.4M | 14¢ | 14.5% | +8.8 pts | $2.6K | 13.8% |
| 4.4M-4.6M | 14¢ | 14.0% | +7.0 pts | $2.6K | 13.6% |
| <3.6M | 10¢ | 10.4% | -10.1 pts | $2.7K | 14.5% |
| 3.6M-3.8M | 9¢ | 9.2% | -5.2 pts | $1.3K | 7.0% |
| 3.8M-4M | 6¢ | 5.5% | -9.0 pts | $1.3K | 7.1% |
| 4.8M+ | 4¢ | 3.5% | -3.6 pts | $1.4K | 7.4% |
| 4.6M-4.8M | 3¢ | 3.0% | -9.3 pts | $985 | 5.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 28¢ / ask 31¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.8K has been traded on this event in total, $1.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 808 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 808 | $569 |
| Quarterly-Locker | Yes | 280 | $83 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 159 | $47 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 107 | $32 |
| Fat-Fat-Hourglass | No | 107 | $75 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 103 | $30 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 100 | $30 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 50 | $35 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | Yes | 50 | $15 |
| Spirited-Priest | Yes | 49 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 05:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 29.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 79.6% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 05:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 29.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 70.3% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 05:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.8% | $33 |
| Oct 24, 05:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 05:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.7% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 05:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 80.2% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 05:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.3% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 4M-4.2M at 29.5%. Next is 4.2M-4.4M at 14.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-senate-election-turnout-first-round?via=bro
$18.8K in total volume, with $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
4M-4.2M, priced at 29.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.