As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Sue Hickey at 76.5% in Glenorchy Mayoral Election Winner — $7.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Sue Hickey, is priced at 76.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.5 pts; past week: +11.5 pts; past month: +38.0 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, Sue Hickey has traded between 22.0% and 80.0%. It opened at 47.0% and last traded at 80.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 80.0% |
Sue Hickey is favored at 76.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Hickey | 76¢ | 76.5% | -3.5 pts | $4.0K | 52.4% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Russell Yaxley | 10¢ | 10.0% | +0.5 pts | $2.8K | 36.0% |
| Nathan Volf | 10¢ | 9.8% | -0.8 pts | $890 | 11.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 75¢ / ask 78¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.7K has been traded on this event in total, $31 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Resolution source: https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 315 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | Yes | 315 | $241 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 267 | $63 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 160 | $122 |
| Subdued-Pasta | No | 118 | $28 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 78 | $18 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 76 | $58 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | No | 60 | $14 |
| Oily-Notoriety | Yes | 54 | $41 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 53 | $12 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 50 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.3% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 07:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $42 |
| Oct 23, 03:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.8% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 12:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.4% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 05:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 35.0% | $4 |
| Oct 19, 06:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $12 |
| Oct 19, 03:10 AM ET | No | SELL | 84.1% | $7 |
| Oct 18, 06:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 07:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 07:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Sue Hickey at 76.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/glenorchy-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$7.7K in total volume, with $31 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/.
Sue Hickey, priced at 76.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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