As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $200M at 38.5% in GMGN FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $45.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $200M, is priced at 38.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: +1.0 pts.
Since May 26, 2026, $200M has traded between 28.0% and 67.5%. It opened at 58.5% and last traded at 38.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 35.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 36.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 35.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 38.5% |
$200M is favored at 38.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 38¢ | 38.5% | -1.0 pts | $22.5K | 49.5% |
| $300M | 38¢ | 38.0% | +0.5 pts | $8.4K | 18.4% |
| $600M | 36¢ | 35.5% | -1.5 pts | $630 | 1.4% |
| $500M | 34¢ | 33.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.1K | 4.6% |
| $400M | 31¢ | 31.0% | -4.0 pts | $6.0K | 13.2% |
| $700M | 25¢ | 25.0% | +4.0 pts | $1.4K | 3.1% |
| $800M | 18¢ | 18.5% | — | $1.4K | 3.0% |
| $900M | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $830 | 1.8% |
| $1B | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $1.1K | 2.3% |
| $1.5B | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| $4B | 6¢ | 5.7% | — | $1.2K | 2.7% |
| $3B | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| $2B | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 37¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$45.5K has been traded on this event in total, $460 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/gmgnai
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,282 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| First-Sphere | Yes | 1,282 | $494 |
| Fearless-Criminal-People | No | 699 | $430 |
| Far-Procurement | No | 556 | $342 |
| Odd-Relish | No | 238 | $147 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 237 | $91 |
| Both-Biscuit | Yes | 100 | $38 |
| Incredible-Pickup | No | 94 | $58 |
| Unusual-Animal | No | 78 | $48 |
| Grizzled-Strudel | Yes | 66 | $25 |
| Mean-Outfielder | No | 47 | $29 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 41.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 05:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 05:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 61.0% | $51 |
| Oct 24, 02:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.2% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 02:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 02:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 02:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $44 |
| Oct 23, 09:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 41.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 09:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 62.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 08:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $200M at 38.5%. Next is $300M at 38.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/gmgn-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$45.5K in total volume, with $460 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/gmgnai.
$200M, priced at 38.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.