As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Pau Cubarsi at 95.2% in Golden Boy 2026 Winner — $18.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Pau Cubarsi, is priced at 95.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.1 pts; past week: -0.9 pts; past month: +4.7 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, Pau Cubarsi has traded between 71.5% and 98.0%. It opened at 71.5% and last traded at 95.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.3% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.2% |
Pau Cubarsi is favored at 95.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Cubarsi | 95¢ | 95.2% | -2.1 pts | $4.9K | 27.3% |
| Player T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Desire Doue | 4¢ | 3.6% | -0.3 pts | $881 | 4.9% |
| Warren Zaire-Emery | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $1.4K | 7.6% |
| Estevao | 1¢ | 0.5% | +0.4 pts | $644 | 3.6% |
| Gianluca Prestianni | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $608 | 3.4% |
| Kenan Yildiz | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $440 | 2.4% |
| Arda Guler | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $640 | 3.6% |
| Jobe Bellingham | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $468 | 2.6% |
| Leny Yoro | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $517 | 2.9% |
| Antonio Nusa | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $527 | 2.9% |
| Franco Mastantuono | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $438 | 2.4% |
| Ethan Nwaneri | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $502 | 2.8% |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $450 | 2.5% |
| Rodrigo Mora | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $475 | 2.6% |
| Geovany Quenda | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $461 | 2.6% |
| Ayyoub Bouaddi | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $202 | 1.1% |
| Yan Diomande | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $96 | 0.5% |
| Luka Vuskovic | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $204 | 1.1% |
| Victor Froholdt | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $280 | 1.6% |
| Rayan | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $489 | 2.7% |
| Jorrel Hato | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $95 | 0.5% |
| Lennart Karl | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $355 | 2.0% |
| Endrick | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $565 | 3.1% |
| Eli Junior Kroupi | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $235 | 1.3% |
| Konstantinos Karetsas | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $193 | 1.1% |
| Said El Mala | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $293 | 1.6% |
| Jon Martin | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $194 | 1.1% |
| Marc Bernal | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $343 | 1.9% |
| Kerim Alajbegovic | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $404 | 2.2% |
| Finn Jeltsch | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $174 | 1.0% |
| Charalampos Kostoulas | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $194 | 1.1% |
| Joane Gadou | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $174 | 1.0% |
| Xavi Espart | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $186 | 1.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 35 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Golden Boy award winner. If no 2026 Golden Boy award winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tuttosport. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,062 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-Insurrection-Flicker | Yes | 1,062 | $1.0K |
| Nocturnal-Sunlamp | No | 873 | $42 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 546 | $26 |
| Near-Mailing | Yes | 440 | $419 |
| Querulous-Variability | Yes | 255 | $243 |
| Large-Octet | Yes | 222 | $211 |
| Blue-Bend | No | 168 | $8 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 92 | $4 |
| Whimsical-Plaster-Celsius | No | 80 | $4 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | No | 60 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:16 AM ET | No | SELL | 2.6% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 11:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.3% | $420 |
| Oct 22, 11:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.1% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 11:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.5% | $284 |
| Oct 22, 11:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.3% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 11:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.9% | $92 |
| Oct 22, 09:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 4.5% | $39 |
| Oct 22, 07:34 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.5% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 06:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.6% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 10:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.7% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Pau Cubarsi at 95.2%. Next is Player T at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/golden-boy-2026-winner?via=bro
$18.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 35 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Pau Cubarsi, priced at 95.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.