Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 71.5% in Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? — $5.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.5K.
Leading outcome
No
72%
A 71.5% price implies roughly a 72-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.5 pts7D −10.5 pts
No71.5%
Yes28.5%
Bid
27¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 16, 2026: 30.5% – 85.5% · Opened at 30.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Category
Finance, Earnings, Hide From New, Equities, GOOGL
Scheduled end
October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET
Total volume
$5.6K
Volume (24h)
$1.5K
Liquidity
$1.4K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 71.5%
Resolution source
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/GOOGL/earnings

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 71.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -10.5 pts.

Since October 16, 2026, No has traded between 30.5% and 85.5%. It opened at 30.5% and last traded at 71.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202630.5%
Oct 18, 202679.5%
Oct 19, 202685.5%
Oct 20, 202685.0%
Oct 22, 202671.0%
Oct 23, 202671.0%
Oct 24, 202671.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 71.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No72¢71.5%+0.5 pts$5.6K100.0%
Yes28¢28.5%-0.5 pts$5.6K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 27¢ / ask 30¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$5.6K has been traded on this event in total, $1.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.

As of market creation, Google is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Google's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.10 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.10 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Google releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/GOOGL/earnings

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,358 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Sympathetic-PreventionNo1,358$971
Bold-HealthYes780$222
Realistic-SailingYes517$147
Frosty-FundingNo503$359
Small-BlowholeYes500$142
Proud-OrientationNo323$231
Glum-SeashoreNo242$173
Practical-AdventYes200$57
Long-Term-Sustainment-GlobeYes199$57
Key-VelocityYes196$56

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $614 at 73.8%BUY Yes — $150 at 29.0%SELL No — $70 at 70.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:56 PM ETYesBUY30.0%$2
Oct 24, 05:56 PM ETYesBUY30.0%$13
Oct 24, 05:56 PM ETYesBUY27.0%$33
Oct 24, 07:45 AM ETYesBUY28.0%$3
Oct 24, 06:58 AM ETYesBUY27.0%$10
Oct 24, 06:26 AM ETYesBUY26.0%$13
Oct 24, 06:17 AM ETYesBUY26.0%$13
Oct 24, 06:10 AM ETYesBUY27.0%$5
Oct 24, 06:10 AM ETYesBUY27.0%$7
Oct 24, 06:10 AM ETYesBUY25.0%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 71.5%. Next is Yes at 28.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/googl-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-27-2026-3pt10?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings??

$5.6K in total volume, with $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/GOOGL/earnings.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 71.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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