As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 71.5% in Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? — $5.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 71.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -10.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, No has traded between 30.5% and 85.5%. It opened at 30.5% and last traded at 71.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 71.5% |
No is favored at 71.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 72¢ | 71.5% | +0.5 pts | $5.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 28¢ | 28.5% | -0.5 pts | $5.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 27¢ / ask 30¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.6K has been traded on this event in total, $1.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
As of market creation, Google is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Google's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.10 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.10 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Google releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/GOOGL/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,358 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sympathetic-Prevention | No | 1,358 | $971 |
| Bold-Health | Yes | 780 | $222 |
| Realistic-Sailing | Yes | 517 | $147 |
| Frosty-Funding | No | 503 | $359 |
| Small-Blowhole | Yes | 500 | $142 |
| Proud-Orientation | No | 323 | $231 |
| Glum-Seashore | No | 242 | $173 |
| Practical-Advent | Yes | 200 | $57 |
| Long-Term-Sustainment-Globe | Yes | 199 | $57 |
| Key-Velocity | Yes | 196 | $56 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 05:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 05:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $33 |
| Oct 24, 07:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 06:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 06:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 06:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 06:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 71.5%. Next is Yes at 28.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/googl-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-27-2026-3pt10?via=bro
$5.6K in total volume, with $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/GOOGL/earnings.
No, priced at 71.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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