Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

GPT-7 released by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 87.5% in GPT-7 released by...? — $20.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
December 31, 2027
88%
A 87.5% price implies roughly a 88-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.5 pts7D +5.0 pts30D +4.0 pts
December 31, 202787.5%
June 30, 202745.0%
Bid
86¢
Ask
89¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 04, 2026: 73.0% – 92.5% · Opened at 73.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
GPT-7 released by...?
Category
AI, gpt, Tech, OpenAI, AI Releases, GPT Releases
Scheduled end
December 31, 2027, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$20.1K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$22.3K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
December 31, 2027 — 87.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 87.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +5.0 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.

Since September 04, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 73.0% and 92.5%. It opened at 73.0% and last traded at 87.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202683.5%
Oct 16, 202683.5%
Oct 18, 202683.0%
Oct 19, 202683.5%
Oct 20, 202683.5%
Oct 24, 202687.5%
Oct 24, 202687.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31, 2027 is favored at 87.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 31, 202788¢87.5%+0.5 pts$9.2K45.6%
June 30, 202745¢45.0%-2.5 pts$10.9K54.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 86¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$20.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-7 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and be designated as version 7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of OpenAI's general-purpose model families qualifies, including Astra, Sol, Terra, Luna, or a successor general-purpose family, provided the version designation of 7 or higher appears in the name or model identifier. For example, GPT-7, GPT-7 Astra, GPT-7 Sol, or a later version such as GPT-7.1 or GPT-8 would qualify, while models that retain a version designation below 7, such as GPT-6 Astra or GPT-6.1, and models that do not carry an explicit version number of 7 or higher in their name or identifier, regardless of how they are described or positioned, will not qualify. Task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, Realtime, transcription, or text-to-speech models will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 995 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Repulsive-DarknessNo995$124
Angelic-CrawYes557$487
Definitive-AnticodonYes296$259
Growing-WayYes251$219
Long-Term-OverheadYes206$180
Buoyant-BellyYes200$175
Perfumed-MoatNo176$22
Raw-SteamNo161$20
Belated-GlueYes104$91
Wicked-PortholeYes100$88

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $324 at 82.0%BUY Yes — $251 at 41.8%BUY Yes — $211 at 84.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 09:02 AM ETNoBUY55.0%$55
Oct 22, 08:37 AM ETYesBUY48.0%$22
Oct 22, 06:21 AM ETNoBUY55.0%$16
Oct 22, 05:04 AM ETYesBUY86.0%$86
Oct 22, 05:04 AM ETYesBUY84.0%$211
Oct 22, 04:46 AM ETYesSELL40.0%$0
Oct 22, 03:11 AM ETYesBUY53.6%$54
Oct 22, 03:11 AM ETNoSELL51.3%$154
Oct 21, 03:08 AM ETNoSELL57.0%$57
Oct 21, 03:08 AM ETYesBUY43.0%$86

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of GPT-7 released by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 87.5%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 45.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-7-released-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on GPT-7 released by...??

$20.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does GPT-7 released by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of GPT-7 released by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, 2027, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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