As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 87.5% in GPT-7 released by...? — $20.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 87.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +5.0 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.
Since September 04, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 73.0% and 92.5%. It opened at 73.0% and last traded at 87.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 87.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 87.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 88¢ | 87.5% | +0.5 pts | $9.2K | 45.6% |
| June 30, 2027 | 45¢ | 45.0% | -2.5 pts | $10.9K | 54.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 86¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-7 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and be designated as version 7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of OpenAI's general-purpose model families qualifies, including Astra, Sol, Terra, Luna, or a successor general-purpose family, provided the version designation of 7 or higher appears in the name or model identifier. For example, GPT-7, GPT-7 Astra, GPT-7 Sol, or a later version such as GPT-7.1 or GPT-8 would qualify, while models that retain a version designation below 7, such as GPT-6 Astra or GPT-6.1, and models that do not carry an explicit version number of 7 or higher in their name or identifier, regardless of how they are described or positioned, will not qualify. Task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, Realtime, transcription, or text-to-speech models will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 995 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Repulsive-Darkness | No | 995 | $124 |
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 557 | $487 |
| Definitive-Anticodon | Yes | 296 | $259 |
| Growing-Way | Yes | 251 | $219 |
| Long-Term-Overhead | Yes | 206 | $180 |
| Buoyant-Belly | Yes | 200 | $175 |
| Perfumed-Moat | No | 176 | $22 |
| Raw-Steam | No | 161 | $20 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 104 | $91 |
| Wicked-Porthole | Yes | 100 | $88 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 09:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $55 |
| Oct 22, 08:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $22 |
| Oct 22, 06:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $16 |
| Oct 22, 05:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 86.0% | $86 |
| Oct 22, 05:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 84.0% | $211 |
| Oct 22, 04:46 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 40.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 03:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.6% | $54 |
| Oct 22, 03:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 51.3% | $154 |
| Oct 21, 03:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $57 |
| Oct 21, 03:08 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $86 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 87.5%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 45.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-7-released-byptptpt?via=bro
$20.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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