As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.9% in Graham Platner divorce by October 31? — $8.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -10.5 pts; past month: -4.2 pts.
Since July 06, 2026, No has traded between 57.5% and 99.7%. It opened at 57.5% and last traded at 98.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 99.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.8% |
No is favored at 98.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99¢ | 98.9% | +0.1 pts | $8.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 1¢ | 1.1% | -0.1 pts | $8.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.1K has been traded on this event in total, $152 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner or his spouse announce their intention to divorce, announce a completed divorce, or file for divorce, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. Announcements of separations will not alone qualify. If Graham Platner or his spouse officially file for divorce without such an announcement, a consensus of credible reporting that the filing has occurred will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be statements from Graham Platner, his spouse, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 857 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Downright-Website | No | 857 | $847 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera | No | 650 | $643 |
| Murky-Rhetoric | Yes | 600 | $7 |
| Giving-Petticoat | No | 600 | $593 |
| Inferior-Implement | Yes | 517 | $6 |
| Lean-Attraction | No | 448 | $443 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 337 | $4 |
| Far-Flung-Transom | No | 230 | $227 |
| Content-Emery | Yes | 200 | $2 |
| Eager-Research | Yes | 150 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.6% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.5% | $149 |
| Oct 19, 08:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.1% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 06:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.8% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 10:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.4% | $0 |
| Oct 11, 02:32 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.7% | $0 |
| Oct 11, 01:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.9% | $0 |
| Oct 11, 01:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.6% | $0 |
| Oct 11, 01:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.7% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.9%. Next is Yes at 1.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/graham-platner-divorce-by-october-31-20260706220148808?via=bro
$8.1K in total volume, with $152 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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