As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Paul Lefebvre at 96.0% in Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner — $10.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Paul Lefebvre, is priced at 96.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +0.4 pts; past month: +6.5 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, Paul Lefebvre has traded between 73.0% and 97.0%. It opened at 74.5% and last traded at 95.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.1% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.3% |
Paul Lefebvre is favored at 96.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Lefebvre | 96¢ | 96.0% | +0.2 pts | $3.6K | 35.8% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Miranda Rocca-Circelli | 2¢ | 2.0% | +0.3 pts | $4.6K | 46.3% |
| Michael McIntosh | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $295 | 2.9% |
| Bob Johnston | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $268 | 2.7% |
| Rodney Newton | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $321 | 3.2% |
| Joseph Boutros | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $295 | 2.9% |
| Keenan Menard | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $325 | 3.2% |
| Troy Crowder | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $292 | 2.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10.0K has been traded on this event in total, $24 of it in the last 24 hours, across 27 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 977 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| mrworldwide | Yes | 977 | $938 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 422 | $17 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 286 | $11 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 273 | $262 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | No | 167 | $7 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 105 | $4 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 103 | $4 |
| 0x11eaaf41… | Yes | 95 | $91 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 81 | $3 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 50 | $48 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 05:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 1.2% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 01:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 1.8% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 01:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 4.4% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 01:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 4.4% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 11:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 11:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 10:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 4.1% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 07:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 3.9% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 06:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 3.1% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Paul Lefebvre at 96.0%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/greater-sudbury-mayoral-election-winner?via=bro
$10.0K in total volume, with $24 traded in the last 24 hours across 27 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Paul Lefebvre, priced at 96.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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