As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 94.5% in Greenland snap election called by December 31? — $22.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 94.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +0.3 pts; past month: -5.1 pts.
Since September 19, 2026, No has traded between 89.5% and 95.8%. It opened at 89.5% and last traded at 94.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.5% |
No is favored at 94.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95¢ | 94.5% | -0.2 pts | $22.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 5¢ | 5.5% | +0.2 pts | $22.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$22.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,863 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Few-Prevention | Yes | 1,863 | $102 |
| Weird-Freedom | No | 750 | $709 |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 721 | $682 |
| Legitimate-Airman | No | 654 | $619 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 159 | $9 |
| Prestigious-Zephyr-Jail | No | 146 | $138 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 118 | $112 |
| Quixotic-Feed | Yes | 107 | $6 |
| Relieved-Maestro | Yes | 100 | $5 |
| Dirty-Sigh | Yes | 87 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 07:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.5% | $12 |
| Oct 14, 06:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.5% | $5 |
| Oct 11, 12:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.8% | $0 |
| Oct 10, 07:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.2% | $57 |
| Oct 10, 11:09 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.4% | $5 |
| Oct 09, 08:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.8% | $2 |
| Oct 09, 08:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.9% | $47 |
| Oct 09, 08:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.9% | $95 |
| Oct 09, 08:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.9% | $198 |
| Oct 09, 08:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.5% | $93 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 94.5%. Next is Yes at 5.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/greenland-snap-election-called-by-december-31?via=bro
$22.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 94.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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