As of October 24, 2026, 09:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 84.0% in Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings? — $705 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 84.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.5 pts; past week: +12.0 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 73.5% and 84.0%. It opened at 79.5% and last traded at 84.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 84.0% |
Yes is favored at 84.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 84¢ | 84.0% | +4.5 pts | $705 | 100.0% |
| No | 16¢ | 16.0% | -4.5 pts | $705 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 12¢ (bid 78¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$705 has been traded on this event in total, $5 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, Garmin is estimated to release earnings on October 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Garmin’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Garmin reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $2.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Garmin releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/GRMN/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 240 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 240 | $38 |
| Weary-Account | Yes | 102 | $86 |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 100 | $84 |
| Careful-Toughguy | Yes | 68 | $57 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 29 | $5 |
| Witty-Birch | Yes | 20 | $17 |
| Deadly-Antechamber | No | 20 | $3 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 8 | $6 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 5 | $1 |
| Portly-Butler | No | 2 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:33 AM ET | No | SELL | 20.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:33 AM ET | No | SELL | 20.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 08:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $23 |
| Oct 22, 06:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 22.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 06:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 78.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 06:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 78.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 06:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.0% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 08:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 08:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $6 |
| Oct 20, 05:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 73.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 84.0%. Next is No at 16.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/grmn-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-28-2026-2pt45?via=bro
$705 in total volume, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/GRMN/earnings.
Yes, priced at 84.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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