Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 10.5% in Grok Bot on the free plan by...? — $7.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $220.
Leading outcome
December 31
10%
A 10.5% price implies roughly a 10-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +2.5 pts7D +1.5 pts
December 3110.5%
October 312.9%
Bid
9¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 03, 2026: 7.5% – 36.5% · Opened at 36.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Grok Bot on the free plan by...?
Category
AI, xAI, Grok, Tech, SpaceXAI
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$7.0K
Volume (24h)
$220
Liquidity
$1.8K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
December 31 — 10.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 10.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: +1.5 pts.

Since October 03, 2026, December 31 has traded between 7.5% and 36.5%. It opened at 36.5% and last traded at 8.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 20268.5%
Oct 16, 20268.5%
Oct 18, 20269.0%
Oct 19, 20268.0%
Oct 20, 20269.0%
Oct 22, 20267.5%
Oct 23, 20268.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 10.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 3110¢10.5%+2.5 pts$2.5K36.0%
October 313¢2.9%-0.1 pts$4.5K64.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$7.0K has been traded on this event in total, $220 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user, and made it free to use, including the cloud computer. SpaceXAI's similar product, Grok Bot, launched on August 11, 2026, is available only on paid SuperGrok and Cursor plans. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI makes Grok Bot available for use without requiring a paid subscription or other paid entitlement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Free access subject to usage limits will qualify. Access through a free trial or promotional offer of a paid plan will not qualify. Free access must be launched and publicly accessible through an official distribution channel, including via open beta or a gradual rollout to users without a paid subscription or other paid entitlement. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 642 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Cuddly-FolderNo642$575
Belated-GlueYes347$36
Grim-GarageYes311$33
Unique-PrimaryNo201$180
Giddy-PoppyNo158$142
Bogus-MisrepresentationYes96$10
Glorious-UniformNo68$61
Gleaming-HandlebarYes53$6
Spicy-AcrylicYes50$5
Plastic-DuckYes40$4

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $527 at 82.0%BUY No — $100 at 95.0%SELL No — $81 at 91.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 03:51 PM ETNoSELL91.0%$24
Oct 24, 03:50 PM ETNoSELL91.0%$24
Oct 24, 03:50 PM ETYesBUY9.0%$4
Oct 24, 03:50 PM ETYesBUY9.0%$2
Oct 24, 03:50 PM ETNoSELL91.7%$81
Oct 24, 04:27 AM ETYesSELL1.1%$0
Oct 23, 05:38 PM ETYesSELL4.0%$0
Oct 23, 05:15 PM ETYesSELL5.0%$2
Oct 23, 09:35 AM ETYesSELL7.0%$2
Oct 23, 08:10 AM ETNoBUY93.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Grok Bot on the free plan by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 10.5%. Next is October 31 at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/grok-bot-on-the-free-plan-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Grok Bot on the free plan by...??

$7.0K in total volume, with $220 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Grok Bot on the free plan by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Grok Bot on the free plan by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 10.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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