As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 30 at 97.2% in GTA VI released by...? — $255.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, November 30, is priced at 97.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -0.2 pts; past month: +4.7 pts.
Since August 21, 2026, November 30 has traded between 86.5% and 97.6%. It opened at 93.0% and last traded at 97.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.2% |
November 30 is favored at 97.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 97¢ | 97.2% | -0.1 pts | $106.4K | 41.7% |
| October 31 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $115.3K | 45.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$255.4K has been traded on this event in total, $169 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 25,000 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scarce-Norm | No | 25,000 | $712 |
| 0xef97d61b… | Yes | 7,446 | $7.2K |
| Bad-Fool-Enrollment | No | 6,156 | $175 |
| Legitimate-Airman | Yes | 5,749 | $5.6K |
| Appropriate-Antennae-Layer | No | 5,696 | $162 |
| Shimmering-Reindeer | Yes | 4,511 | $4.4K |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist | Yes | 3,170 | $3.1K |
| Cheery-Preparation | Yes | 3,000 | $2.9K |
| Cultured-Cupola | Yes | 2,500 | $2.4K |
| Another-Allowance | Yes | 1,903 | $1.8K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 3.3% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 3.2% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 3.2% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 11:39 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $50 |
| Oct 23, 10:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.6% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 12:35 AM ET | No | SELL | 2.5% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 11:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.5% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 08:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.6% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.9% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 08:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.7% | $104 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 30 at 97.2%. Next is October 31 at 0.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/gta-vi-released-before-november-2026?via=bro
$255.4K in total volume, with $169 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
November 30, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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