As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Leanne Caron at 77.0% in Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner — $14.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Leanne Caron, is priced at 77.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +25.5 pts; past week: +25.0 pts; past month: +33.0 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, Leanne Caron has traded between 31.0% and 73.0%. It opened at 53.5% and last traded at 73.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.0% |
Leanne Caron is favored at 77.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leanne Caron | 77¢ | 77.0% | +25.5 pts | $8.0K | 57.0% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ken Yee Chew | 19¢ | 19.0% | -5.0 pts | $4.1K | 29.1% |
| Ryan Meunier | 4¢ | 4.5% | +1.3 pts | $543 | 3.9% |
| Evaristo Ramos Jr. | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $475 | 3.4% |
| John Edward Krusky | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $439 | 3.1% |
| Rajee Sinha | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $497 | 3.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 24¢ (bid 65¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.1K has been traded on this event in total, $37 of it in the last 24 hours, across 27 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Guelph, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Guelph, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Guelph, Ontario.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 635 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rash-Squash-Hanger | Yes | 635 | $489 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 627 | $144 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 417 | $96 |
| Unfit-Hardboard | Yes | 337 | $260 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 246 | $189 |
| Lonely-Pronunciation-Jewellery | Yes | 107 | $83 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | No | 105 | $24 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 100 | $23 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 50 | $39 |
| Known-Use | No | 48 | $11 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 30.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 35.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 11:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 30.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 11:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.8% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 01:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 31.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 11:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.0% | $70 |
| Oct 22, 06:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 32.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 11:35 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 56.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 11:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 11:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Leanne Caron at 77.0%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/guelph-mayoral-election-winner?via=bro
$14.1K in total volume, with $37 traded in the last 24 hours across 27 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Leanne Caron, priced at 77.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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