As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Beatriz Mojica Morga at 88.3% in Guerrero Governor Election Winner — $95.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Beatriz Mojica Morga, is priced at 88.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.1 pts; past month: +17.8 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Beatriz Mojica Morga has traded between 3.5% and 88.4%. It opened at 29.5% and last traded at 88.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 88.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 88.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.3% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 88.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.3% |
Beatriz Mojica Morga is favored at 88.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatriz Mojica Morga | 88¢ | 88.3% | — | $18.2K | 19.0% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Manuel Añorve Baños | 5¢ | 4.5% | -0.4 pts | $3.6K | 3.7% |
| Esthela Damián Peralta | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.5 pts | $32.8K | 34.3% |
| Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña | 2¢ | 2.3% | +0.9 pts | $1.9K | 2.0% |
| Karen Castrejón Trujillo | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $2.6K | 2.7% |
| Mario Moreno Arcos | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $2.5K | 2.6% |
| Rubén Cayetano García | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $1.3K | 1.4% |
| Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $1.3K | 1.4% |
| Carlos Reyes Torres | 1¢ | 0.6% | -3.5 pts | $2.4K | 2.5% |
| Gustavo Alarcón Herrera | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.9K | 1.9% |
| Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.9K | 2.0% |
| Héctor Astudillo Flores | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.5K | 1.6% |
| Evodio Velázquez Aguirre | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.9K | 2.0% |
| Rogelio Ortega Martínez | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.5K | 1.5% |
| Alberto López Rosas | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.4K | 1.5% |
| Javier Saldaña Almazán | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.4K | 1.5% |
| Guadalupe Eguiluz | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $1.8K | 1.8% |
| Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5.2K | 5.5% |
| Yesenia Galarza Castro | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.3K | 1.3% |
| Julián López Galeana | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 1.6% |
| Erika Lorena Lührs | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 1.6% |
| Abelina López Rodríguez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 1.5% |
| Félix Salgado Macedonio | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 1.2% |
| Iván Hernández Díaz | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $817 | 0.9% |
| Genaro Vázquez Flores | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $405 | 0.4% |
| Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $604 | 0.6% |
| Alejandro Bravo Abarca | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | 1.1% |
| Eloy Salmerón Díaz | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $829 | 0.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$95.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 55 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,901 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,901 | $338 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 1,931 | $1.7K |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 1,084 | $958 |
| Natural-Vacation | Yes | 400 | $353 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 350 | $41 |
| Fat-Fat-Hourglass | Yes | 341 | $301 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 318 | $37 |
| Dizzy-Vampire | No | 198 | $23 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | Yes | 115 | $101 |
| Superior-Format | No | 96 | $11 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 09:26 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 88.2% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 03:17 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 11:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $3 |
| Oct 15, 10:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 01:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.6% | $5 |
| Oct 13, 07:55 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 88.2% | $2 |
| Oct 13, 05:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 88.2% | $17 |
| Oct 12, 04:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 88.1% | $36 |
| Oct 10, 06:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.7% | $0 |
| Oct 10, 04:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 14.1% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Beatriz Mojica Morga at 88.3%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/guerrero-governor-election-winner-20260803170329?via=bro
$95.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 55 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Beatriz Mojica Morga, priced at 88.3% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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