As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” at 26.6% in Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner — $161.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”, is priced at 26.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +7.3 pts; past month: -4.3 pts.
Since November 07, 2025, Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” has traded between 0.7% and 99.6%. It opened at 47.0% and last traded at 26.6%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 22.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 24.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 19.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 24.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 24.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 21.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 26.6% |
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” is favored at 26.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” | 27¢ | 26.6% | — | $49.5K | 30.6% |
| PT | 19¢ | 19.4% | -0.1 pts | $22.3K | 13.8% |
| FLING | 4¢ | 4.1% | +0.1 pts | $13.1K | 8.1% |
| PS | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $26.7K | 16.5% |
| FREPASNA | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $27.1K | 16.7% |
| MUNDO-GB | 3¢ | 2.6% | -1.5 pts | $23.1K | 14.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 39¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 46¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$161.7K has been traded on this event in total, $8 of it in the last 24 hours, across 21 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Resolution source: https://www.cne.gw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,323 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,323 | $2.4K |
| Dull-Universe | No | 846 | $621 |
| Failing-Disposer | Yes | 650 | $173 |
| Stale-Slapstick | Yes | 470 | $125 |
| 0xf8b720c0… | No | 266 | $195 |
| 0x01f3d871… | Yes | 251 | $67 |
| 0xd20d7704… | Yes | 231 | $61 |
| Blue-Blackness | Yes | 216 | $57 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 214 | $157 |
| Reflecting-Parka | No | 170 | $125 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 12:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.7% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 06:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.7% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 02:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.3% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 05:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.7% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 04:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 53.3% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 04:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 53.3% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 04:18 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 05:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.2% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 02:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.3% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 03:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.4% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” at 26.6%. Next is PT at 19.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/guinea-bissau-national-peoples-assembly-election-winner?via=bro
$161.7K in total volume, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours across 21 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.cne.gw/.
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”, priced at 26.6% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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