As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Actor B at 50.0% in Gwen Stacy live-action film actress? — $28.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Actor B, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Actor B is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actor B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| No actor chosen by end of 2027 | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $11.4K | 40.6% |
| Emma Myers | 32¢ | 32.5% | — | $5.3K | 18.9% |
| McKenna Grace | 14¢ | 14.5% | -1.0 pts | $10.4K | 36.9% |
| Emma Stone | 3¢ | 2.9% | +0.5 pts | $226 | 0.8% |
| Kiernan Shipka | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $171 | 0.6% |
| Sadie Sink | 1¢ | 1.1% | +0.1 pts | $243 | 0.9% |
| Emily Rudd | 0¢ | 0.5% | +0.1 pts | $181 | 0.6% |
| Ester Expósito | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $185 | 0.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$28.1K has been traded on this event in total, $101 of it in the last 24 hours, across 34 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Gwen Stacy in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify. Only live-action feature film castings will qualify. If more than one actor is announced to portray Gwen Stacy in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify. Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify. If no actor is announced as the live-action Gwen Stacy within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No actor chosen by end of 2027". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sony Pictures, Marvel, their parent companies, or another authorized representative of the Spider-Man franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 418 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 418 | $209 |
| Unlined-Pole | Yes | 257 | $128 |
| Messy-Ritual-Hops | Yes | 68 | $34 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 47 | $24 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 24 | $12 |
| Powerful-Waste | Yes | 12 | $6 |
| 0xca75fbad… | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 2 | $1 |
| Blind-Leaf | Yes | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 51.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 08:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 11:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $77 |
| Oct 23, 03:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 03:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 51.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 11:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 50.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 11:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 11:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 52.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 11:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 11:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Actor B at 50.0%. Next is Actor C at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/gwen-stacy-live-action-film-actress?via=bro
$28.1K in total volume, with $101 traded in the last 24 hours across 34 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
Actor B, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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