As of October 24, 2026, 08:05 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 82.0% in Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? — $30.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 82.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: -6.5 pts.
Since October 09, 2026, No has traded between 66.0% and 82.5%. It opened at 76.0% and last traded at 81.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 81.5% |
No is favored at 82.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 82¢ | 82.0% | +3.0 pts | $30.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 18¢ | 18.0% | -3.0 pts | $30.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 17¢ / ask 19¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$30.9K has been traded on this event in total, $35 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gyanesh Kumar ceases to be Chief Election Commissioner of India for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gyanesh Kumar's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gyanesh Kumar, the Election Commission of India, and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,634 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Big-Hearted-Outlaw-Inbox | Yes | 10,634 | $1.9K |
| Cuddly-Pillar | No | 7,103 | $5.8K |
| Fake-Consulting | No | 2,712 | $2.2K |
| Spiffy-Enactment-Strength | No | 1,368 | $1.1K |
| Popular-Punch | Yes | 1,100 | $198 |
| Deadly-Dump-Transplantation | Yes | 868 | $156 |
| Clueless-Dugout-Tomtom | No | 700 | $574 |
| Outlying-Graph | No | 590 | $484 |
| Charming-Grape | Yes | 422 | $76 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 406 | $73 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 02:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 07:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 07:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 08:56 AM ET | No | SELL | 78.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 09:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 03:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 11:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $1.1K |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 82.0%. Next is Yes at 18.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/gyanesh-kumar-out-as-chief-election-commissioner-of-india-by-december-31?via=bro
$30.9K in total volume, with $35 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 82.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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