As of October 24, 2026, 06:34 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Keanin Loomis at 54.0% in Hamilton Mayoral Election — $24.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Keanin Loomis, is priced at 54.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -5.5 pts; past month: -2.5 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, Keanin Loomis has traded between 25.0% and 61.5%. It opened at 37.5% and last traded at 54.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 54.0% |
Keanin Loomis is favored at 54.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keanin Loomis | 54¢ | 54.0% | +0.5 pts | $11.2K | 46.8% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Andrea Horwath | 18¢ | 17.5% | -2.0 pts | $4.8K | 19.9% |
| Rob Cooper | 15¢ | 14.7% | -3.5 pts | $1.5K | 6.3% |
| Sasha Austin | 2¢ | 2.4% | +2.1 pts | $2.3K | 9.5% |
| Scarlett Gillespie | 2¢ | 1.8% | +1.7 pts | $1.9K | 8.0% |
| Pamela Mitchell | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $648 | 2.7% |
| Ejaz Butt | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $446 | 1.9% |
| Paul Fromm | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $757 | 3.2% |
| Nathalie Xian Yi Yan | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $461 | 1.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 49¢ / ask 59¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$24.0K has been traded on this event in total, $687 of it in the last 24 hours, across 36 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,570 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Numb-Champagne | Yes | 1,570 | $848 |
| Fearful-Congress | No | 1,402 | $645 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 1,310 | $707 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 742 | $341 |
| Rex416 | No | 460 | $212 |
| mrworldwide | No | 450 | $207 |
| Charming-Grape | No | 285 | $131 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 196 | $90 |
| 0x6b25c5c4… | Yes | 174 | $94 |
| Each-Summary | Yes | 151 | $82 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 43.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 47.0% | $24 |
| Oct 24, 01:48 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.5% | $207 |
| Oct 24, 02:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.7% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 02:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 11:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 07:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 03:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 08:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 44.0% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 06:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $48 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Keanin Loomis at 54.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/hamilton-mayoral-election-20260810192440416?via=bro
$24.0K in total volume, with $687 traded in the last 24 hours across 36 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Keanin Loomis, priced at 54.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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