As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 29.5% in Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...? — $27.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 29.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -9.0 pts; past week: -20.0 pts; past month: -34.0 pts.
Since August 20, 2026, December 31 has traded between 29.5% and 64.0%. It opened at 51.5% and last traded at 29.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 29.5% |
December 31 is favored at 29.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 30¢ | 29.5% | -9.0 pts | $3.7K | 13.2% |
| November 30 | 3¢ | 3.2% | -0.1 pts | $2.4K | 8.6% |
| October 31 | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.6 pts | $6.1K | 21.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 33¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 46¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$27.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Heidi Overton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 230 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Measly-Gelatin | Yes | 230 | $68 |
| Gifted-Rancher | No | 142 | $100 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 103 | $30 |
| mskl | No | 70 | $50 |
| Likable-Sprinkles | No | 61 | $43 |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 50 | $15 |
| Winged-Holder | No | 46 | $32 |
| Guilty-Spring | No | 41 | $29 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 40 | $12 |
| Joyous-Catalyst | No | 33 | $23 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 07:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 07:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 04:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 59.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 09:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 09:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 09:12 AM ET | No | SELL | 62.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 07:20 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 34.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 07:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 61.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 07:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 61.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 29.5%. Next is November 30 at 3.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/heidi-overton-confirmed-as-fda-commissioner-by?via=bro
$27.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 29.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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