As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 57.5% in Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings? — $2.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 57.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts; past week: -9.0 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, No has traded between 26.0% and 60.5%. It opened at 35.5% and last traded at 57.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 40.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 26.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 26.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 57.5% |
No is favored at 57.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 57¢ | 57.5% | -4.0 pts | $2.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 42¢ | 42.5% | +4.0 pts | $2.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 40¢ / ask 45¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.1K has been traded on this event in total, $89 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, Hilton Grand Vacations is estimated to release earnings on November 11, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Hilton Grand Vacations’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.13 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hilton Grand Vacations reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.13 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Hilton Grand Vacations releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/HGV/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 470 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frosty-Funding | Yes | 470 | $200 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 350 | $201 |
| Insubstantial-Coffee | No | 326 | $187 |
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 120 | $51 |
| Knowledgeable-Thousand | No | 119 | $68 |
| Weary-Account | Yes | 99 | $42 |
| 0xd45bf309… | Yes | 89 | $38 |
| Agreeable-Appreciation | No | 60 | $35 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 50 | $29 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | No | 40 | $23 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 56.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 40.3% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 03:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 08:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 09:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 50.0% | $25 |
| Oct 22, 09:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 56.1% | $39 |
| Oct 22, 04:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 63.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 01:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 45.0% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 57.5%. Next is Yes at 42.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/hgv-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-11-11-2026-1pt13?via=bro
$2.1K in total volume, with $89 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/HGV/earnings.
No, priced at 57.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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